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Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation: the case of Bulgaria

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  • Vasilev, Aleksandar

Abstract

We show that in a endogenous growth model with human accumulation calibrated to Bulgarian data under the progressive taxation regime (1993-2007), the artificial economy exhibits equilibrium indeterminacy. These results are in line with the recent findings in Chen and Guo (2015) in the context of an AK endogenous growth model. Also, the findings are in contrast to Guo and Lansing (1988) who argue that progressive taxation works as an automatic stabilizer. Progressive taxation in our setup lead to equilibrium indeterminacy. This indeterminacy result could explain, at least partially, why the economic performance under the progressive taxation regime in Bulgaria was not impressive.

Suggested Citation

  • Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2016. "Progressive taxation and (in)stability in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Preprints 144212, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esprep:144212
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Azacis, Helmuts & Gillman, Max, 2010. "Flat tax reform: The Baltics 2000-2007," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 692-708, June.
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    4. King, Robert G & Rebelo, Sergio, 1990. "Public Policy and Economic Growth: Developing Neoclassical Implications," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(5), pages 126-150, October.
    5. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2019. "Progressive taxation as an automatic destabilizer under endogenous growth," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 47-71, June.
    6. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2015. "The welfare effect of flat income tax reform: the case of Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 53(3), pages 205-220.
    7. Ventura, Gustavo, 1999. "Flat tax reform: A quantitative exploration," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 23(9-10), pages 1425-1458, September.
    8. Ortigueira, Salvador, 1998. "Fiscal policy in an endogenous growth model with human capital accumulation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(2), pages 323-355, July.
    9. Shu-Hua Chen & Jang-Ting Guo, 2016. "Progressive Taxation, Endogenous Growth, And Macroeconomic (In)Stability," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(S1), pages 20-27, December.
    10. Kaloyan Ganev, 2005. "Measuring Total Factor Productivity: Growth Accounting for Bulgaria," GE, Growth, Math methods 0504004, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 21 Apr 2005.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2020. "Indeterminacy and Multiplicity of Equilibria in a Two-sector Economy with a Public-sector Production," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 63(1), pages 18-43.
    2. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2022. "How important are shocks to the elasticity of aggregate labor supply for business cycle fluctuations?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 65(2), pages 48-67.
    3. Aleksandar Vasilev, 2022. "Is Military Spending Quantitatively Important for Business Cycle Fluctuations?," Journal of Economics and Econometrics, Economics and Econometrics Society, vol. 65(1), pages 28-51.
    4. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2021. "A Real-Business-Cycle model with robots: Lessons for Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 7-15.
    5. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2020. "How quantitatively important are the shocks to the time endowment for business cycle fluctuations? Lessons for Bulgaria (1999-2018)," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue forthcomi.
    6. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2022. "How important are shocks to the elasticity of aggregate labor supply for business cycle fluctuations? Lessons from Bulgaria," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 65(2), pages 48-67.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Progressive Income Taxation; Human capital; Endogenous Growth; Equilibrium (In)determinacy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory

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