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Asymptotic Maturity Behavior of the Term Structure

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  • Schulze, Klaas

Abstract

Pricing and hedging of long-term interest rate sensitive products require to extrapolate the term structure beyond observable maturities. For the resulting limiting term structure we show two results by postulating no arbitrage in a bond market with infinitely increasing maturities: long zero-bond yields and long forward rates (i) are monotonically increasing and (ii) equal their minimal future value. Both results constrain the asymptotic maturity behavior of stochastic yield curves. They are fairly general and extend beyond semimartingale modeling. Hence our framework embeds arbitrage-free term structure models and imposes restrictions on their specification.

Suggested Citation

  • Schulze, Klaas, 2008. "Asymptotic Maturity Behavior of the Term Structure," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 11/2008, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bonedp:112008
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    Cited by:

    1. Sebastián A. Rey, 2016. "Theory of long-term interest rates," International Journal of Financial Engineering (IJFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(03), pages 1-18, September.
    2. Francesca Biagini & Alessandro Gnoatto & Maximilian Hartel, 2015. "The Long-Term Swap Rate and a General Analysis of Long-Term Interest Rates," Papers 1507.00208, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    3. Jan de Kort, 2018. "A note on the long rate in factor models of the term structure," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(2), pages 656-667, April.
    4. Francesca Biagini & Alessandro Gnoatto & Maximilian Härtel, 2020. "General Analysis Of Long-Term Interest Rates," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 23(01), pages 1-29, January.
    5. Constantinos Kardaras & Eckhard Platen, 2009. "On the Dybvig-Ingersoll-Ross Theorem," Papers 0901.2080, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2010.
    6. Dorje C. Brody & Lane P. Hughston, 2018. "Social Discounting And The Long Rate Of Interest," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 306-334, January.
    7. Francesca Biagini & Alessandro Gnoatto & Maximilian Hartel, 2013. "Affine HJM Framework on $S_{d}^{+}$ and Long-Term Yield," Papers 1311.0688, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2015.
    8. Dorje C. Brody & Lane P. Hughston, 2013. "Social Discounting and the Long Rate of Interest," Papers 1306.5145, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2015.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bond markets; yield curve; long forward rates; no arbitrage; asymptotic maturity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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