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Blocks adjustment – reduction of bias and variance of detrended fluctuation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation

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Author Info
Sebastian Michalski (Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics)

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Abstract

The length of minimal and maximal blocks equally distant on log-log scale versus fluctuation function considerably influences bias and variance of DFA. Through a number of extensive Monte Carlo simulations and different fractional Brownian motion/fractional Gaussian noise generators, we found the pair of minimal and maximal blocks that minimizes the sum of mean-squared error of estimated Hurst exponents for the series of length N = 2^p, p = 7, . . . , 15. Sensitivity of DFA to sort-range correlations was examined using ARFIMA(p, d, q) generator. Due to the bias of the estimator for anti-persistent processes, we narrowed down the range of Hurst exponent to 1/2 =< H <1.

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File URL: http://www.sgh.waw.pl/instytuty/zes/wp/aewp08-06.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Department of Applied Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 15.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 22 May 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:wse:wpaper:15

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Postal: 02-554 Warszawa, Al. Niepodległosci 164
Web page: http://www.sgh.waw.pl/instytuty/zes
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Related research
Keywords: Detrended Fluctuation Analysis; Scaled Windowed Variance; fractional Brownian motion; Hurst exponent; ARFIMA;

Statistics
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