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An Empirical Test of a New Theory of Economic Growth ? the Relationship Between External Debt and Economic Development

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Author Info
Carolyn Currie (School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney)

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Abstract

Analyses of the nature of debt relying on the theory of rational expectations conclude that the burden of public debt need not fall on future generations if the present generation anticipates the higher taxes needed in the future for debt servicing. However, there have been many instances where increases in budget deficits have been followed by a decrease in the savings propensity of the private sector. Foreign exchange earnings also have to be set aside. It appears that the main problem for countries in an early stage of economic development, is that often the borrowings have not been productively employed so that a national debt crises results. Foreign lenders become increasingly reluctant to lend further amounts to a country, which has been a net capital importer. This paper puts forward a methodology of testing a new theory of economic growth that emphasises key factors determining the success or failure of policies that change underlying economic structures, and hence would lead to an intrinsic monitoring of ?over-borrowing?.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney in its series Working Paper Series with number 140.

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Date of creation: 01 May 2005
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Handle: RePEc:uts:wpaper:140

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Related research
Keywords: economic growth; debt burden; regulation; ownership structures;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L33 - Industrial Organization - - Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise - - - Boundaries of Public and Private Enterprise; Privatization; Contracting Out
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
O38 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Technological Change - - - Government Policy
O47 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
P11 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Planning, Coordination, and Reform
P52 - Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Comparative Studies of Particular Economies

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Gauche, Jerry N., 1998. "Binary economic modes for the privatization of public assets," The Journal of Socio-Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 445-459. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. M Dabrowski & Stanislaw Gomulka & J Rostowski, 2000. "Whence Reform? A Critique of the Stiglitz Perspective," CEP Discussion Papers dp0471, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE. [Downloadable!]
  3. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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