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Asset Pricing with Downside Liquidity Risks

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Abstract

We develop a parsimonious liquidity-adjusted downside capital asset pricing model to investigate whether phenomena such as downward liquidity spirals and flights to liquidity impact expected asset returns. We find strong empirical support for the model. Downside liquidity risk (sensitivity of stock liquidity to negative market returns) has an economically meaningful return premium that is 10 times larger than its symmetric analogue. The expected liquidity level and downside market risk are also associated with meaningful return premiums. Downside liquidity risk and its associated premium are higher during periods of low marketwide liquidity and for stocks that are relatively small, illiquid, volatile, and have high book-to-market ratios. These results are consistent with investors requiring compensation for holding assets susceptible to adverse liquidity phenomena. Our findings suggest that mitigation of downside liquidity risk can lower firms’ cost of capital.

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  • Sean A. Anthonisz & Talis Putnins, 2017. "Asset Pricing with Downside Liquidity Risks," Published Paper Series 2017-1, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    • Handle: RePEc:uts:ppaper:2017-1
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    File URL: https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2438
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    Cited by:

    1. Silvio John Camilleri & Ritienne Farrugia, 2018. "The Risk-Adjusted Performance of Alternative Investment Funds and UCITS: A Comparative Analysis," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(7), pages 1-23, July.
    2. Ruenzi, Stefan & Ungeheuer, Michael & Weigert, Florian, 2020. "Joint Extreme events in equity returns and liquidity and their cross-sectional pricing implications," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    3. Jeong, Giho & Kang, Jangkoo & Kwon, Kyung Yoon, 2018. "Liquidity skewness premium," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 130-150.
    4. Chen, Na & Jin, Xiu, 2020. "Industry risk transmission channels and the spillover effects of specific determinants in China’s stock market: A spatial econometrics approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    5. Paul Brockman & Dennis Y Chung & Neal M Snow, 2023. "Search-Based Peer Groups and Commonality in Liquidity," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(1), pages 33-77.
    6. Vu, Van & Chai, Daniel & Do, Viet, 2015. "Empirical tests on the liquidity-adjusted capital asset pricing model," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PA), pages 73-89.
    7. Syeda Hina Zaidi & Nousheen Tariq Bhutta, 2021. "Liquidity Synchronization and Asset Valuation in Selected Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(6), pages 488-500.
    8. Zhang, Yiming & Wang, Guanying, 2020. "Compensation for illiquidity in China: Evidence from an alternative measure," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    9. Acharya, Viral V. & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2019. "Economics with Market Liquidity Risk," Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 8(1-2), pages 111-125, December.
    10. Chongyu Wang & Jeffrey P. Cohen & John L. Glascock, 2019. "Geographic Proximity and Competition for Scarce Capital: Evidence from U.S. REITs," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 535-570.
    11. Wu, Ying, 2019. "Asset pricing with extreme liquidity risk," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 143-165.
    12. Al Janabi, Mazin A.M. & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Berger, Theo & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2017. "Multivariate dependence and portfolio optimization algorithms under illiquid market scenarios," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 259(3), pages 1121-1131.
    13. Abad, David & Nieto, Belén & Pascual, Roberto & Rubio, Gonzalo, 2023. "Market-wide illiquidity and the distribution of non-parametric stochastic discount factors," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    14. Syeda Hina Zaidi & Nousheen Tariq Bhutta, 2021. "Liquidity Synchronization and Asset Valuation in Selected Emerging Asian Economies," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(6), pages 488-500, June.
    15. Kang, Minwook, 2022. "The positive impact of investment subsidies on the economy with present-biased consumers," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 229-235.
    16. Chiu, Junmao & Chung, Huimin, 2019. "Legal institutions and fragile financial markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 277-298.
    17. Nizar Raissi & Sahbi Missaoui, 2015. "Role of investor sentiment in financial markets: an explanation by behavioural finance approach," International Journal of Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 5(4), pages 362-401.
    18. Będowska-Sójka, Barbara & Echaust, Krzysztof & Just, Małgorzata, 2022. "The asymmetry of the Amihud illiquidity measure on the European markets: The evidence from Extreme Value Theory," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Belkhir, Mohamed & Saad, Mohsen & Samet, Anis, 2020. "Stock extreme illiquidity and the cost of capital," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    20. Bollerslev, Tim & Patton, Andrew J. & Quaedvlieg, Rogier, 2022. "Realized semibetas: Disentangling “good” and “bad” downside risks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 227-246.
    21. Bohmann, Marc & Michayluk, David & Patel, Vinay & Walsh, Kathleen, 2019. "Liquidity and earnings in event studies: Does data granularity matter?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 118-131.
    22. Mousumi Bhattacharya & Sharad Nath Bhattacharya & Sumit Kumar Jha, 2022. "Does time-varying illiquidity matter for the Indian stock market? Evidence from high-frequency data," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 47(2), pages 251-272, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    liquidity risk; liquidity spiral; conditional moment; pricing kernel; downside risk;
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