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Value at Risk (VaR) and the alpha-stable distribution

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Author Info
John C. Frain () (Department of Economics, Trinity College Dublin)

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Abstract

Volatility in financial markets is a matter of considerable concern to financial institutions and their supervisors. Already it is clear that this volatility has had an adverse effect on the real economy. Many measures of risk that are used today do not take full account of the kind of extreme changes in asset prices that have been observed. This paper finds that the Value at Risk measure of risk can be improved by the use of an alpha-stable distribution in place of more conventional measures. The paper describes the use of this measure and implements it for six total returns equity portfolios. We find that alpha-stable based measures are feasible and are better than conventional measures. They are a useful tool for the risk manager and the financial regulator.

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File URL: http://www.tcd.ie/Economics/TEP/2008/TEP0308.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics in its series Trinity Economics Papers with number tep0308.

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Length: 52 pages
Date of creation: May 2008
Date of revision: May 2008
Handle: RePEc:tcd:tcduee:tep0308

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Postal: Trinity College, Dublin 2
Phone: (+ 353 1) 6081325
Fax: 6772503
Web page: http://www.tcd.ie/Economics/
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Related research
Keywords: alpha stable distribution Value at Risk VaR

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C16 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Econometric and Statistical Methods; Specific Distributions
C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions
G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

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References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Con Keating & Hyun Song Shin & Charles Goodhart & Jon Danielsson, 2001. "An Academic Response to Basel II," FMG Special Papers sp130, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-7-26.


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