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The when and how of leaving school: The policy implications of new evidence on secondary schooling in South Africa

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  • Martin Gustafsson

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

Abstract

South African and international household and education datasets are analysed to characterise patterns of dropping out, grade repetition, academic under-performance and under-preparedness for post-school life in South African secondary schools. A number of measurement error problems are moreover discussed and in some cases remedied. The proportion of South African youths entering upper secondary schooling is above the trend found in comparable middle income countries, the proportion entering the last grade (Grade 12) is about average, but the proportion successfully completing secondary schooling (40%) is below average. The data suggest improving quality should be a greater planning priority than increasing enrolments. A what-if subject choice analysis using examination data moreover suggests that successful completion could be greatly enhanced by guiding students to more appropriate subject choices, possibly through a more standardised set of assessments in Grade 9. Any attempt to reduce dropping out must pay close attention to financial constraints experienced by students with respect to relatively low-cost inputs such as books. Teenage pregnancies must be reduced as these explain half of female dropping out. The quality problem in schools underlined by the fact that income returns and test score gains associated with each additional year of secondary schooling are well below those associated with a year of post-school education.

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File URL: http://www.ekon.sun.ac.za/wpapers/2011/wp092011/wp-09-2011.pdf
File Function: First version, 2011
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 09/2011.

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Date of creation: 2011
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Handle: RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers137

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Related research

Keywords: Human capital; Unemployment; Earnings function; South Africa; Secondary schools; Examinations; Education policy;

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  1. Servaas van der Berg, 2007. "Apartheid's Enduring Legacy: Inequalities in Education-super- 1," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE), vol. 16(5), pages 849-880, November.
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Cited by:
  1. Nicola Branson & Clare Hofmeyr & David Lam, 2014. "Progress through school and the determinants of school dropout in South Africa," Development Southern Africa, Taylor & Francis Journals, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(1), pages 106-126, January.
  2. Martin Gustafsson & Stephen Taylor, 2013. "Treating schools to a new administration. The impact of South Africa’s 2005 provincial boundary changes on school performance," Working Papers 28/2013, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

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