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The building blocks of complexity: a unified criterion and selected applications in risk management

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Author Info
D. Seese () (Institute AIFB, University Karlsruhe (TH), D-76128 Karlsruhe, Germany)
F. Schlottmann () (Institute AIFB, University Karlsruhe (TH), D-76128 Karlsruhe, Germany)
Abstract

The analysis of many complex problems and complex dynamic systems suggests that there are dependencies between high complexity and properties of the underlying structures, as the existence of large grids, non-regularities and inhomogeneous structures and irregular flows of information. These observations indicate the existence of a unified criterion that defines structural elements of complex entities. We present the idea of such a criterion basing on concepts from computational and parametric complexity theory and analyse its impact in financial risk management. It is shown that selected real-world problems in risk managements are complex in the sense of NP-completeness. Here the criterion is used to analyse the structural reasons for the proved complexity. We show how selected risk management methods fit into the picture of our complexity criterion and derive some implications for the future generation of risk management methods from the viewpoint of complexity.

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Paper provided by Society for Computational Economics in its series Modeling, Computing, and Mastering Complexity 2003 with number 14.

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Handle: RePEc:sce:cplx03:14

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Related research
Keywords: complexity; risk management; credit risk; operational risk; NP-hard; tree width; local structure; information flow;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Investment Policy
G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Charles Goodhart, 2001. "Operational Risk," FMG Special Papers sp131, Financial Markets Group. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gordy, Michael B., 2002. "Saddlepoint approximation of CreditRisk+," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1335-1353, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Merton, Robert C., 1973. "On the pricing of corporate debt: the risk structure of interest rates," Working papers 684-73., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Sloan School of Management. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-54, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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