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Modelling the Impact of Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers on Output Stabilisation in South Africa

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  • Kibambe Jacques Ngoie
  • Niek Schoeman

Abstract

This paper investigates ways in which an efficiency model like ‘DEA Window analysis’ can be utilised, under strictly defined conditions, to assess the level of efficiency of automatic fiscal stabilisers (AFS). The size of AFS is obtained through gaps in both revenue and expenditures variables such as tax revenue (current tax on income and wealth), social grants/benefits, and compensation of employees. The results obtained support evidence of AFS action between 1991 and 2005 and explain distinct cointegrating vectors that exist between the obtained efficiency scores and some selected variables, such as a corruption perception index (CPI), a conversion factor (exports), and the level of openness in the economy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Economic Research Southern Africa in its series Working Papers with number 129.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:rza:wpaper:129

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Keywords: South Africa; Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers; Data Envelopment Analysis; Efficiency scores;

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  1. Barro, Robert J., 1979. "On the Determination of the Public Debt," Scholarly Articles 3451400, Harvard University Department of Economics.
  2. Charnes, A. & Cooper, W. W. & Rhodes, E., 1978. "Measuring the efficiency of decision making units," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 2(6), pages 429-444, November.
  3. Jacques Ngoie Kibambe & Steven F. Koch, 2005. "DEA Applied to a Gauteng Sample of South African Public Hospitals," Working Papers 200512, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  4. Stan du Plessis & Willem Boshoff, 2007. "A fiscal rule to produce counter-cyclical fiscal policy in South Africa," Working Papers 13/2007, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
  5. Ray Barrell & Ian Hurst & Álvaro Pina, 2002. "Fiscal Targets, Automatic Stabilisers and their Effects on Output," Working Papers Department of Economics, ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon 2002/05, ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon.
  6. W. Cooper & Shanling Li & L. Seiford & Kaoru Tone & R. Thrall & J. Zhu, 2001. "Sensitivity and Stability Analysis in DEA: Some Recent Developments," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 217-246, May.
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