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Price Setting during Low and High Inflation: Evidence from Mexico

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Author Info
Etienne Gagnon () (Economics Northwestern University)

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Abstract

This paper provides new insight into the relationship between inflation and consumer price setting by examining a large data set of Mexican consumer prices covering episodes of both low and high inflation, as well as the transition between the two. The overall portrait is one in which the economy shares several characteristics of time dependent models when the annual inflation rate is low (below 10-15%), while displaying strong state dependence when inflation is high (above 10-15%). At low inflation levels, the aggregate frequency of price changes responds little to movements in inflation because movements in the frequency of price decreases partly offset movements in the frequency of price increases. When the annual inflation rate is above 10-15 percent, however, there are no longer enough price decreases to counterbalance price increases, making the frequency of price changes much more responsive to inflation. In this case, a 1-percent increase in the annual inflation rate is associated with a 0.40-0.45-percentage-points increase in the monthly frequency of price changes for consumer goods.

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Paper provided by Society for Economic Dynamics in its series 2006 Meeting Papers with number 300.

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Date of creation: 03 Dec 2006
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Handle: RePEc:red:sed006:300

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Related research
Keywords: Price setting; consumer prices; frequency of price changes; time-dependent pricing; state-dependent pricing.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure and Pricing - - - General
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Burstein, Ariel Tomas & Hellwig, Christian, 2007. "Prices and Market Shares in a Menu Cost Model," CEPR Discussion Papers 6504, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Julio J. Rotemberg, 2008. "Behavioral Aspects of Price Setting, and Their Policy Implications," NBER Working Papers 13754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Jerzy D. Konieczny, 2006. "Discussion of: Lumpy Price Adjustments: A Microeconometric Analysis," Working Papers jk0035, Wilfrid Laurier University, Department of Economics, revised 1970. [Downloadable!]
  4. Troy Davig, 2007. "Phillips curve instability and optimal monetary policy," Research Working Paper RWP 07-04, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Downloadable!]
  5. Marco Bonomo & Carlos Carvalho, 2008. "Imperfectly credible disinflation under endogenous time-dependent pricing," Staff Reports 355, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Alvarez González, Luis Julián, 2008. "What Do Micro Price Data Tell Us on the Validity of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, vol. 2(19), pages 1-36. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Carlos Capistrán & Christian Constandse & Manuel Ramos Francia, 2009. "Using Seasonal Models to Forecast Short-Run Inflation in Mexico," Working Papers 2009-05, Banco de México. [Downloadable!]
  8. James Costain & Antón Nákov, 2009. "Dynamics of the price distribution in a general model of state-dependent pricing," Banco de España Working Papers 0831, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
  9. James Costain & Antón Nákov, 2008. "Price adjustments in a general model of state-dependent pricing," Banco de España Working Papers 0824, Banco de España. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Julia Lendvai, 2006. "Inflation dynamics and regime shifts," Working Paper Series 684, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jerzy (Jurek) D. Konieczny & Fabio Rumler, 2006. "Regular adjustment - theory and practice," Working Paper Series 669, European Central Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  14. Sarah M. Rupprecht, 2007. "When Do Firms Adjust Prices? Evidence from Micro Panel Data," Working papers 07-160, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich. [Downloadable!]
  15. Isaac Kleshchelski & Nicolas Vincent, 2007. "Market Share and Price Rigidity," Cahiers de recherche 08-01, HEC Montréal, Institut d'économie appliquée. [Downloadable!]
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  19. Juan Pablo Medina & David Rappoport & Claudio Soto, 2007. "Dynamics of Price Adjustments: Evidence From Micro Level Data for Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 432, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  20. Carlos Carvalho & Fernanda Nechio, 2008. "Aggregation and the PPP puzzle in a sticky-price model," Staff Reports 351, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
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