IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ran/wpaper/wr-496.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Bayesian Estimation of Hispanic Fertility Hazards from Survey and Population Data

Author

Listed:
  • Michael S. Rendall
  • Mark S. Handcock
  • Stefan H. Jonsson

Abstract

Previous studies have demonstrated both large efficiency gains and reductions in bias by incorporating population information in regression estimation with sample survey data. These studies, however, assume the population values are exact. This assumption is relaxed here through a Bayesian extension of constrained Maximum Likelihood estimation, applied to 1990s Hispanic fertility. Traditional elements of subjectivity in demographic evaluation and adjustment of survey and population data sources are quantified by this approach, and the inclusion of a larger set of objective data sources is facilitated by it. Compared to estimation from sample survey data only, the Bayesian constrained estimator results in much greater precision in the age pattern of the baseline fertility hazard and, under all but the most extreme assumptions about the uncertainty of the adjusted population data, substantially greater precision about the overall level of the hazard.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael S. Rendall & Mark S. Handcock & Stefan H. Jonsson, 2007. "Bayesian Estimation of Hispanic Fertility Hazards from Survey and Population Data," Working Papers WR-496, RAND Corporation.
    • Handle: RePEc:ran:wpaper:wr-496
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/working_papers/2007/RAND_WR496.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Judith K. Hellerstein & Guido W. Imbens, 1999. "Imposing Moment Restrictions From Auxiliary Data By Weighting," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 81(1), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Mark Handcock & Sami Huovilainen & Michael Rendall, 2000. "Combining registration-system and survey data to estimate birth probabilities," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 37(2), pages 187-192, May.
    3. Ermisch, John F, 1989. "Purchased Child Care, Optimal Family Size and Mother's Employment: Theory and Econometric Analysis," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 2(2), pages 79-102.
    4. Guido W. Imbens & Tony Lancaster, 1994. "Combining Micro and Macro Data in Microeconometric Models," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 61(4), pages 655-680.
    5. Renato Assunção & Carl Schmertmann & Joseph Potter & Suzana Cavenaghi, 2005. "Empirical bayes estimation of demographic schedules for small areas," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 42(3), pages 537-558, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Rendall & Mark Handcock & Stefan Jonsson, 2009. "Bayesian estimation of hispanic fertility hazards from survey and population data," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 46(1), pages 65-83, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael S. Rendall & Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar & Margaret M. Weden & Elizabeth H. Baker & Zafar Nazarov, 2013. "Multiple Imputation for Combined-survey Estimation With Incomplete Regressors in One but Not Both Surveys," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 42(4), pages 483-530, November.
    2. F Bravo, 2008. "Effcient M-estimators with auxiliary information," Discussion Papers 08/26, Department of Economics, University of York.
    3. Michael S. Rendall & Ryan Admiraal & Alessandra De Rose & Paola Di Giulio & Mark S. Handcock & Filomena Racioppi, 2006. "Population constraints on pooled surveys in demographic hazard modeling," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2006-039, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    4. Michael Rendall & Ryan Admiraal & Alessandra DeRose & Paola DiGiulio & Mark Handcock & Filomena Racioppi, 2008. "Population constraints on pooled surveys in demographic hazard modeling," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 17(4), pages 519-539, October.
    5. Michael S. Rendall & Mark S. Handcock & Stefan H. Jonsson, 2007. "Bayesian Estimation of Hispanic Fertility Hazards from Survey and Population Data," Working Papers 496, RAND Corporation.
    6. Igari, Ryosuke & Hoshino, Takahiro, 2018. "A Bayesian data combination approach for repeated durations under unobserved missing indicators: Application to interpurchase-timing in marketing," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 150-166.
    7. Michael S. Rendall & Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar & Margaret M. Weden & Zafar Nazarov, 2011. "Multiple Imputation for Combined-Survey Estimation With Incomplete Regressors In One But Not Both Surveys," Working Papers WR-887-1, RAND Corporation.
    8. John Fitzgerald & Peter Gottschalk & Robert Moffitt, 1998. "An Analysis of Sample Attrition in Panel Data: The Michigan Panel Study of Income Dynamics," Journal of Human Resources, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 33(2), pages 251-299.
    9. d'Haultfoeuille, Xavier, 2010. "A new instrumental method for dealing with endogenous selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(1), pages 1-15, January.
    10. Lee, Seojeong, 2014. "Asymptotic refinements of a misspecification-robust bootstrap for generalized method of moments estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 398-413.
    11. Esmeralda A. Ramalho & Richard J. Smith, 2013. "Discrete Choice Non-Response," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(1), pages 343-364.
    12. Esmeralda A. Ramalho & Joaquim J. S. Ramalho, 2006. "Two‐Step Empirical Likelihood Estimation Under Stratified Sampling When Aggregate Information Is Available," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 74(5), pages 577-592, September.
    13. Esmeralda A. Ramalho & Joaquim J. S. Ramalho & Rui Evangelista, 2017. "Combining micro and macro data in hedonic price indexes," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 26(2), pages 317-332, June.
    14. Nail Kashaev, 2022. "Estimation of Parametric Binary Outcome Models with Degenerate Pure Choice-Based Data with Application to COVID-19-Positive Tests from British Columbia," University of Western Ontario, Departmental Research Report Series 20225, University of Western Ontario, Department of Economics.
    15. Denis Heng Yan Leung & Ken Yamada & Biao Zhang, 2015. "Enriching Surveys with Supplementary Data and its Application to Studying Wage Regression," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 42(1), pages 155-179, March.
    16. Devereux, Paul J. & Tripathi, Gautam, 2009. "Optimally combining censored and uncensored datasets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(1), pages 17-32, July.
    17. Nevo, Aviv, 2003. "Using Weights to Adjust for Sample Selection When Auxiliary Information Is Available," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 43-52, January.
    18. Liu, Tianqing & Yuan, Xiaohui, 2012. "Combining quasi and empirical likelihoods in generalized linear models with missing responses," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 39-58.
    19. Hirukawa, Masayuki & Prokhorov, Artem, 2018. "Consistent estimation of linear regression models using matched data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 344-358.
    20. Bryan S. Graham & Cristine Campos De Xavier Pinto & Daniel Egel, 2012. "Inverse Probability Tilting for Moment Condition Models with Missing Data," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 79(3), pages 1053-1079.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian Estimation; Human Fertility; Population Forecasting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • I1 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ran:wpaper:wr-496. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Benson Wong (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lpranus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.