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Incidencia del Complejo Sojero: Implicancias en el Riesgo Macroeconómico
[Macroeconomic Risk: The incidence of soy exports in Argentina between 2003 and 2012]

Author

Listed:
  • Sorrentino, Angelica
  • Thomasz, Esteban Otto

Abstract

The aim of this work is to measure the incidence of the soy exports in the Argentinean economy during 2003-2012, as to evaluate if it increases exposition to macroeconomic vulnerability. For that, the commodities boom prices and its impact over internal variables such as primary production, exchange rate and employment is analyzed. Last, a simulation is presented to measure the relevance of the soy exports the balance of payments and federal government revenues.

Suggested Citation

  • Sorrentino, Angelica & Thomasz, Esteban Otto, 2014. "Incidencia del Complejo Sojero: Implicancias en el Riesgo Macroeconómico [Macroeconomic Risk: The incidence of soy exports in Argentina between 2003 and 2012]," MPRA Paper 55767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:55767
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Owen Barder, 2006. "A Policymakers' Guide to Dutch Disease," Working Papers 91, Center for Global Development.
    2. Frankel, Jeffrey A., 2011. "A Solution to Overoptimistic Forecasts and Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile," Scholarly Articles 4723209, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    3. Frankel, Jeffrey A., 2012. "The Natural Resource Curse: A Survey of Diagnoses and Some Prescriptions," Scholarly Articles 8694932, Harvard Kennedy School of Government.
    4. Kuwayama, Mikio & Durán Lima, José Elías, 2003. "La calidad de la inserción internacional de América Latina y el Caribe en el comercio mundial," Comercio Internacional 4365, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    5. Jeffrey Frankel, 2013. "A Solution to Fiscal Procyclicality: The Structural Budget Institutions Pioneered by Chile," Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Luis Felipe Céspedes & Jordi Galí (ed.),Fiscal Policy and Macroeconomic Performance, edition 1, volume 17, chapter 9, pages 323-391, Central Bank of Chile.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    vulnerability; macroeconomic risk; exports; commodity prices;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H25 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Business Taxes and Subsidies
    • Q10 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - General

    Statistics

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