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The COVID-19 global debt crisis: how to avoid it

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  • Ozili, Peterson K.

Abstract

This paper analyse the looming COVID-19 global debt crisis. The high debt incurred during the pandemic period by many countries combined with tightening global financial conditions such as increase in interest rate can trigger a global debt crisis for heavily indebted countries. I suggest some actions to be taken by richer countries, heavily indebted countries and multilateral organisations to mitigate the looming COVID-19 global debt crisis. Richer countries who are creditors to poor countries should consider debt forgiveness, interest repayment holidays, debt-forgreen swap and other debt relief options. Multilateral organisations should allow affected members to draw on their contributory fund, they should support the G20 Debt Service Suspension Initiative, and engage in debt forgiveness advocacy. Heavily indebted countries should restructure their debt, rebalance policy priorities, focus on alternatives to borrowing, manage their level of debt, and find better ways to manage shocks and crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Ozili, Peterson K., 2023. "The COVID-19 global debt crisis: how to avoid it," MPRA Paper 115831, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:115831
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai & Gabriel P. Mihalache, 2020. "Deadly Debt Crises: COVID-19 in Emerging Markets," NBER Working Papers 27275, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Charles Cohen & Mr. S. M. Ali Abbas & Anthony Myrvin & Tom Best & Mr. Peter Breuer & Hui Miao & Ms. Alla Myrvoda & Eriko Togo, 2020. "The Role of State-Contingent Debt Instruments in Sovereign Debt Restructurings," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2020/006, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Ozili, Peterson K, 2020. "COVID-19 in Africa: socioeconomic impact, policy response and opportunities," MPRA Paper 99617, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Andrew Atkeson, 2020. "What Will be the Economic Impact of COVID-19 in the US? Rough Estimates of Disease Scenarios," Staff Report 595, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; debt crisis; pandemic; debt restructuring; economic crisis; coronavirus; economic impact;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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