IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/113843.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Blockchain 2030: A Look at the Future of Blockchain in Australia

Author

Listed:
  • Bratanova, Alexandra
  • Devaraj, D
  • Horton, Joanna
  • Naughtin, Claire
  • Kloester, Ben
  • Trinh, Kelly
  • Weber, Ingo
  • Dawson, David

Abstract

Blockchain technology is a distributed ledger technology whereby a database is distributed across numerous users, and changes to the database are validated by consensus among the users. While it is best known as the platform for Bitcoin, blockchain technology can be widely applied to improve business processes, increase transparency, and drive the creation of new jobs and industries. Over the last decade, blockchain technology has grown in popularity and use, and has already begun to disrupt existing markets in Australia and around the world. The opportunities blockchain presents have been invested in, studied, explored, and considered, in almost all sectors of the economy. Blockchain has attracted significant public and private investment, and introduced previously non-existent products and services across multiple industries. Despite its potential, there is significant uncertainty regarding future adoption of blockchain technology in Australia. For instance, there are unknowns around blockchain’s capacity to work at scale while remaining decentralised, and protect confidentiality whilst also being transparent. The extent to which the public will trust decentralised systems is also uncertain. These uncertainties raise the question: can blockchain progress beyond the hype to deliver tangible, high-value applications and a thriving industry for Australia, or will blockchain amount to little more than a market bubble? This report investigates plausible futures for the adoption of blockchain technology in Australia out to 2030, with a particular focus on Australia’s emerging blockchain industry and workforce. Using strategic foresight methodologies, it aims to identify critical risks, challenges and opportunities for Australia’s blockchain industry and assist stakeholders in developing informed strategic responses to these potential futures. Two specific techniques under the umbrella of strategic foresight are employed in this report—horizon scanning and scenario planning. These techniques are used in combination to craft and communicate a narrative about the future of blockchain adoption in Australia. This report provides multiple views of the future of blockchain adoption in Australia and the impact this could have on existing and emerging industries and businesses. By understanding the potential risks that the future could hold—as well as the opportunities that blockchain technology could provide for the Australian economy—government and industry can make more informed decisions that best position the nation for decades to come.

Suggested Citation

  • Bratanova, Alexandra & Devaraj, D & Horton, Joanna & Naughtin, Claire & Kloester, Ben & Trinh, Kelly & Weber, Ingo & Dawson, David, 2019. "Blockchain 2030: A Look at the Future of Blockchain in Australia," MPRA Paper 113843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:113843
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/113843/1/MPRA_paper_113843.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. World Bank Group, 2017. "Migration and Remittances, April 2017," World Bank Publications - Reports 30278, The World Bank Group.
    2. Max J. Krause & Thabet Tolaymat, 2018. "Author Correction: Quantification of energy and carbon costs for mining cryptocurrencies," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(12), pages 814-814, December.
    3. World Bank Group, 2017. "Migration and Remittances," World Bank Publications - Reports 28444, The World Bank Group.
    4. Max J. Krause & Thabet Tolaymat, 2018. "Quantification of energy and carbon costs for mining cryptocurrencies," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(11), pages 711-718, November.
    5. Hyytinen, Ari & Pajarinen, Mika & Rouvinen, Petri, 2015. "Does innovativeness reduce startup survival rates?," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 30(4), pages 564-581.
    6. Eric D Gould & Alexander Hijzen, 2016. "Growing Apart, Losing Trust? The Impact of Inequality on Social Capital," IMF Working Papers 2016/176, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bratanova, Alexandra & Pham, Hien & Mason, Claire & Hajkowicz, Stefan & Naughtin, Claire & Schleiger, Emma & Sanderson, Conrad & Chen, Caron & Karimi, Sarvnaz, 2022. "Differentiating artificial intelligence activity clusters in Australia," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    2. Ingo Weber & Mark Staples, 2022. "Programmable money: next-generation blockchain-based conditional payments," Digital Finance, Springer, vol. 4(2), pages 109-125, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Arfaoui, Nadia & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Boubaker, Sabri & Mirza, Nawazish & Karim, Sitara, 2023. "Interdependence of clean energy and green markets with cryptocurrencies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Michael L. Polemis & Mike G. Tsionas, 2023. "The environmental consequences of blockchain technology: A Bayesian quantile cointegration analysis for Bitcoin," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1602-1621, April.
    3. Lisha, Liu & Mousa, Saeed & Arnone, Gioia & Muda, Iskandar & Huerta-Soto, Rosario & Shiming, Zhai, 2023. "Natural resources, green innovation, fintech, and sustainability: A fresh insight from BRICS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    4. Mingbo Zheng & Gen-Fu Feng & Xinxin Zhao & Chun-Ping Chang, 2023. "The transaction behavior of cryptocurrency and electricity consumption," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
    5. Sarker, Provash Kumer & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Pradhan, Ashis Kumar, 2023. "Asymmetric effects of climate policy uncertainty and energy prices on bitcoin prices," Innovation and Green Development, Elsevier, vol. 2(2).
    6. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Wali Ullah, GM & Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Osei Bonsu, Christiana & Abdullah, Mohammad, 2023. "Blockchain market and eco-friendly financial assets: Dynamic price correlation, connectedness and spillovers with portfolio implications," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 218-243.
    7. Le, Thanh Ha, 2023. "Quantile time-frequency connectedness between cryptocurrency volatility and renewable energy volatility during the COVID-19 pandemic and Ukraine-Russia conflicts," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 613-625.
    8. Anh Ngoc Quang Huynh & Duy Duong & Tobias Burggraf & Hien Thi Thu Luong & Nam Huu Bui, 2022. "Energy Consumption and Bitcoin Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(1), pages 79-93, March.
    9. Lorente, Daniel Balsalobre & Mohammed, Kamel Si & Cifuentes-Faura, Javier & Shahzad, Umer, 2023. "Dynamic connectedness among climate change index, green financial assets and renewable energy markets: Novel evidence from sustainable development perspective," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C), pages 94-105.
    10. Yazıcı, Ali Fırat & Olcay, Ali Bahadır & Arkalı Olcay, Gökçen, 2023. "A framework for maintaining sustainable energy use in Bitcoin mining through switching efficient mining hardware," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    11. Podhorsky, Andrea, 2023. "Taxing bitcoin: Incentivizing the difficulty adjustment mechanism to reduce electricity usage," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    12. Carlo Gola & Johannes Sedlmeir, 2022. "Addressing the Sustainability of Distributed Ledger Technology," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 670, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    13. Jiang, Shangrong & Li, Yuze & Wang, Shouyang & Zhao, Lin, 2022. "Blockchain competition: The tradeoff between platform stability and efficiency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 296(3), pages 1084-1097.
    14. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Yu, Chin-Hsien & Zhang, Jian, 2023. "Heterogeneous dependence among cryptocurrency, green bonds, and sustainable equity: New insights from Granger-causality in quantiles analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 99-109.
    15. Bikramaditya Ghosh & Spyros Papathanasiou & Georgios Pergeris, 2022. "Did cryptocurrencies exhibit log‐periodic power law signature during the second wave of COVID‐19?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    16. Ndubuisi, Gideon & Urom, Christian, 2023. "Dependence and risk spillovers among clean cryptocurrencies prices and media environmental attention," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    17. Łęt Blanka & Sobański Konrad & Świder Wojciech & Włosik Katarzyna, 2022. "Is the cryptocurrency market efficient? Evidence from an analysis of fundamental factors for Bitcoin and Ethereum," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 58(4), pages 351-370, December.
    18. Rina Astini & Kehkashan Ishrat & Yanto Ramli & Tafiprios Tafiprios & Kwong Wing Chong & Ooi Chee Keong, 2023. "Nexus among Crypto Trading, Environmental Degradation, Economic Growth and Energy Usage: Analysis of Top 10 Cryptofriendly Asian Economies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 339-347, September.
    19. Ye, Wang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Arnone, Gioia & Nassani, Abdelmohsen A. & Haffar, Mohamed & Faiz, Muhammad Fauzinudin, 2023. "Crypto currency and green investment impact on global environment: A time series analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 155-169.
    20. Fatih Ecer & Tolga Murat & Hasan Dinçer & Serhat Yüksel, 2024. "A fuzzy BWM and MARCOS integrated framework with Heronian function for evaluating cryptocurrency exchanges: a case study of Türkiye," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Blockchain; digital technology; strategic foresight; Australia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:113843. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.