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Human Resources in Europe. Estimation, Clusterization, Machine Learning and Prediction

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  • Leogrande, Angelo
  • Costantiello, Alberto

Abstract

We estimate the relationships between innovation and human resources in Europe using the European Innovation Scoreboard of the European Commission for 36 countries for the period 2010-2019. We perform Panel Data with Fixed Effects, Random Effects, Pooled OLS, Dynamic Panel and WLS. We found that Human resources is positively associated to “Basic-school entrepreneurial education and training”, “Employment MHT manufacturing KIS services”, “Employment share Manufacturing (SD)”, “Lifelong learning”, “New doctorate graduates”, “R&D expenditure business sector”, “R&D expenditure public sector”, “Tertiary education”. Our results also show that “Human Resources” is negatively associated to “Government procurement of advanced technology products”, “Medium and high-tech product exports”, “SMEs innovating in-house”, “Venture capital”. In adjunct we perform a clusterization with k-Means algorithm and we find the presence of three clusters. Clusterization shows the presence of Central and Northern European countries that has higher levels of Human Resources, while Southern and Eastern Europe has very low degree of Human Resources. Finally, we use seven machine learning algorithms to predict the value of Human Resources in Europe Countries using data in the period 2014-2021 and we show that the linear regression algorithm performs at the highest level.

Suggested Citation

  • Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto, 2021. "Human Resources in Europe. Estimation, Clusterization, Machine Learning and Prediction," MPRA Paper 109749, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:109749
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    2. Giebel, Marek & Kraft, Kornelius, 2018. "Bank credit supply and firm innovation," ZEW Discussion Papers 18-011, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Paul M. Romer, 1994. "The Origins of Endogenous Growth," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 3-22, Winter.
    4. Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio & De Cristoforo, Gianluca & Leogrande, Angelo, 2021. "The Innovation-Sales Growth Nexus in Europe," MPRA Paper 106858, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 28 Mar 2021.
    5. Leogrande, Angelo & Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto, 2022. "The Innovation Index in Europe," MPRA Paper 112841, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Claudia Capozza & Marialuisa Divella, 2019. "Human capital and firms’ innovation: evidence from emerging economies," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(7), pages 741-757, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio, 2022. "The Export of Medium and High-Tech Products Manufactured in Europe," MPRA Paper 114215, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio, 2021. "The Impact of Venture Capital Expenditures on Innovation in Europe," MPRA Paper 109897, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Leogrande, Angelo & Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto, 2022. "The Innovation Index in Europe," MPRA Paper 112841, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto & Matarrese, Marco Maria & Leogrande, Angelo, 2022. "The Employment in Innovative Enterprises in Europe," MPRA Paper 111335, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio, 2022. "k-Means Clusterization and Machine Learning Prediction of European Most Cited Scientific Publications," MPRA Paper 114273, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Costantiello, Alberto & Leogrande, Angelo, 2023. "The Impact of Research and Development Expenditures on ESG Model in the Global Economy," MPRA Paper 117013, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Leogrande, Angelo, 2022. "The Export of High Knowledge Intensity Services of European Countries," MPRA Paper 112795, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio & Leogrande, Angelo, 2022. "Marketing and Organizational Innovations in Europe," MPRA Paper 114121, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio & Matarrese, Marco Maria, 2022. "International Scientific Co-Publications in Europe," MPRA Paper 113162, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio, 2021. "The Broadband Penetration in Europe," MPRA Paper 110457, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Laureti, Lucio & Costantiello, Alberto & Matarrese, Marco Maria & Leogrande, Angelo, 2022. "Enterprises Providing ICT Training in Europe," MPRA Paper 111756, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio & Matarrese, Marco Maria, 2022. "Innovative SMEs Collaborating with Others in Europe," MPRA Paper 113008, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Leogrande, Angelo & Costantiello, Alberto & Laureti, Lucio & Leogrande, Domenico, 2021. "The Determinants of Design Applications in Europe," MPRA Paper 110836, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives; Management of Technological Innovation and R&D; Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes Intellectual Property and Intellectual Capital; Open Innovation; Government Policy.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O33 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
    • O34 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Intellectual Property and Intellectual Capital
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

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