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Should CBA use descriptive or prescriptive discount rates? It should use both!

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  • Szekeres, Szabolcs

Abstract

Discounting project net flows that exclude financing costs with prescriptive rates fails to reflect costs of capital; discounting them with descriptive rates fails to reflect intertemporal preferences. A hybrid discounting method is proposed by which descriptive rates are used to forecast costs of capital and prescriptive rates are used to discount all-inclusive net welfare flows. An agent-based capital market model audits the performance of alternative discounting approaches. There is no need to reconcile the discounting approaches. They should be viewed as complementary, not as competing. For projects to be economically feasible their rate of return should exceed both the STPR and the SOCR. Following this rule will ensure that proposed public sector projects will be no less effective at converting present consumption into future consumption than what the public can already manage and that the benefits of proposed projects will exceed all their direct and indirect costs.

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  • Szekeres, Szabolcs, 2021. "Should CBA use descriptive or prescriptive discount rates? It should use both!," MPRA Paper 108397, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:108397
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Szekeres, Szabolcs, 2020. "Checking the Evidence for Declining Discount Rates," MPRA Paper 102233, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Social discount rate; Prescriptive discounting; Descriptive discounting; Hybrid discounting; Declining discount rates.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
    • H43 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - Project Evaluation; Social Discount Rate

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