IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pra/mprapa/102464.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Stock Exchange Fungibility and Exchange Rate Volatility in Zimbabwe

Author

Listed:
  • Sakarombe, Upenyu
  • Marimbe-Makoni, Rudo

Abstract

Investors, policymakers, and Economists have debated whether high volatility in the parallel exchange rate in Zimbabwe was driven by stock exchange fungibility or not. This study investigated the interaction between the stock exchange fungibility market and the parallel exchange rate market. The study utilised the Granger Causality, Cointegration Test, and the Engle-Granger Error Correction Model to determine the short-run, long-run relationships and speed of adjustment between the variables. Stock exchange fungibility was found to granger-cause exchange rate volatility implying a Portfolio Balance Approach Model. The bearish market activities would chase away investors, so they would sell their shares, convert their monies into foreign currency to turn to the alternative bullish market where shares are fungible. This would lead to the depreciation of the local currency. The results also showed evidence of cointegration with a perfect long-run speed of adjustment towards the equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakarombe, Upenyu & Marimbe-Makoni, Rudo, 2020. "Stock Exchange Fungibility and Exchange Rate Volatility in Zimbabwe," MPRA Paper 102464, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2020.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:102464
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/102464/1/MPRA_paper_102464.pdf
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jacob A. Frenkel, 1983. "Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number fren83-1, May.
    2. William H. Branson, 1983. "A Model of Exchange-Rate Determination with Policy Reaction: Evidence from Monthly Data," NBER Working Papers 1135, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Hunter, John & Menla Ali, Faek, 2014. "On the linkages between stock prices and exchange rates: Evidence from the banking crisis of 2007–2010," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 87-103.
    4. Antonakakis, Nikolaos, 2012. "Exchange return co-movements and volatility spillovers before and after the introduction of euro," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 1091-1109.
    5. Jacob A. Frenkel, 1983. "An Introduction to Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics," NBER Chapters, in: Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics, pages 1-18, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Diamandis, Panayiotis F. & Drakos, Anastassios A., 2011. "Financial liberalization, exchange rates and stock prices: Exogenous shocks in four Latin America countries," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 381-394, May.
    7. Granger, C. W. J., 1981. "Some properties of time series data and their use in econometric model specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 121-130, May.
    8. Zhao, Hua, 2010. "Dynamic relationship between exchange rate and stock price: Evidence from China," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 103-112, June.
    9. Dornbusch, Rudiger & Fischer, Stanley, 1980. "Exchange Rates and the Current Account," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(5), pages 960-971, December.
    10. Aloui Mouna & Jarboui Anis, 2016. "Market, interest rate, and exchange rate risk effects on financial stock returns during the financial crisis: AGARCH-M approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(1), pages 1125332-112, December.
    11. A. Can Inci & Bong Soo Lee, 2014. "Dynamic Relations between Stock Returns and Exchange Rate Changes," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 20(1), pages 71-106, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Michael Takudzwa Pasara & Vincent Mugwira, 2023. "Exchange Rate (MIS-) Alignment: An Application of the Behavioural Equilibrium Exchange Rate (beer) Approach to Zimbabwe (1990-2018)," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 128-141, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tian, Maoxi & El Khoury, Rim & Alshater, Muneer M., 2023. "The nonlinear and negative tail dependence and risk spillovers between foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging economies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Xie, Zixiong & Chen, Shyh-Wei & Wu, An-Chi, 2020. "The foreign exchange and stock market nexus: New international evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 240-266.
    3. Andrieș, Alin Marius & Ihnatov, Iulian & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2014. "Analyzing time–frequency relationship between interest rate, stock price and exchange rate through continuous wavelet," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 227-238.
    4. Malik, Farooq, 2021. "Volatility spillover between exchange rate and stock returns under volatility shifts," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 605-613.
    5. Christos Kollias & Stephanos Papadamou & Costas Siriopoulos, 2016. "Stock markets and effective exchange rates in European countries: threshold cointegration findings," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 6(2), pages 215-274, August.
    6. Simona Moagăr-Poladian & Dorina Clichici & Cristian-Valeriu Stanciu, 2019. "The Comovement of Exchange Rates and Stock Markets in Central and Eastern Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(14), pages 1-22, July.
    7. Sui, Lu & Sun, Lijuan, 2016. "Spillover effects between exchange rates and stock prices: Evidence from BRICS around the recent global financial crisis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 459-471.
    8. Hock Tsen Wong, 2016. "Real Exchange Rate Returns And Real Stock Price Returns In The Stock Market Of Malaysia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 64(05), pages 1319-1349, December.
    9. Andre Yone Haughton & Emma M. Iglesias, 2017. "Exchange Rate Movements, Stock Prices and Volatility in the Caribbean and Latin America," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 437-447.
    10. Dai, Zhifeng & Zhu, Huan & Dong, Xiaodi, 2020. "Forecasting Chinese industry return volatilities with RMB/USD exchange rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
    11. Effiong, Ekpeno L., 2016. "Nonlinear Dependence between Stock Prices and Exchange Rate in Nigeria," MPRA Paper 74336, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    12. Oguzhan Ozcelebi & Nurtac Yildirim, 2017. "Impacts of short-term interest rates on stock returns and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from EAGLE countries," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 228-255, February.
    13. Ngo Thai Hung, 2022. "Spillover Effects Between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates for the Central and Eastern European Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 23(2), pages 259-286, April.
    14. Wong, Hock Tsen, 2017. "Real exchange rate returns and real stock price returns," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 340-352.
    15. Walid, Chkili & Chaker, Aloui & Masood, Omar & Fry, John, 2011. "Stock market volatility and exchange rates in emerging countries: A Markov-state switching approach," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 272-292, September.
    16. Andriansyah, Andriansyah & Messinis, George, 2019. "Stock Prices, Exchange Rates and Portfolio Equity Flows: A Toda-Yamamoto Panel Causality Test," MPRA Paper 97992, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Tanveer Bagh & Tahir Azad & Sadaf Razzaq & Idrees Liaqat & Muhammad Asif Khan, 2017. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on Stock Index: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(3), pages 70-86, July.
    18. Joseba Luzarraga-Goitia & Marta Regúlez-Castillo & Arturo Rodríguez-Castellanos, 2021. "The dynamics between the stock market and exchange rates: Spain 1999–2015," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(7), pages 655-678, May.
    19. Xingxing He & Korhan K. Gokmenoglu & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Syed Kumail Abbas Rizvi, 2023. "Co‐movement of foreign exchange rate returns and stock market returns in an emerging market: Evidence from the wavelet coherence approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 1994-2005, April.
    20. Tachibana, Minoru, 2018. "Relationship between stock and currency markets conditional on the US stock returns: A vine copula approach," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 75-106.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    stock market; fungibility; exchange rate volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F38 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Financial Policy: Financial Transactions Tax; Capital Controls
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:102464. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.