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Demand Growth in Developing Countries

Author

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  • David Abler

    (Pennsylvania State University)

Abstract

This report prepared by a consultant, Dr. David Abler of Penn State University in the United States, examines structural changes in the demand for agricultural products arising from economic growth in a number of large developing and emerging economies comprising primarily the BRIIC group of countries (Brazil, Russia, India, Indonesia and China). It reviews and evaluates a number of studies made of the effects of economic growth in large developing and emerging economies on agricultural product demand and the structure of demand. In particular, the report seeks to evaluate the effects of economic growth and rising incomes on the composition of agricultural product demand across product categories (e.g. cereals vs. meat), within product categories (e.g. lower-quality cereals vs. higher-quality cereals) and on the evolution of price and income elasticities of demand for agricultural products - that is, how rapidly are they moving toward the low elasticities seen in many OECD countries. The report also utilises the results of these studies to draw out the possible implications for agricultural commodity demand, commodity prices, and possible price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • David Abler, 2010. "Demand Growth in Developing Countries," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 29, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:agraaa:29-en
    DOI: 10.1787/5km91p2xcsd4-en
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, De & Yu, Xiaohua & Herzfeld, Thomas, 2015. "Dynamic food demand in urban China," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 27-44.
    2. Zhou, De & Yu, Xiaohua & Abler, David & Chen, Danhong, 2020. "Projecting meat and cereals demand for China based on a meta-analysis of income elasticities," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    3. Miroslav Verbič & Mitja Čok & Ana Božič, 2014. "Demand for food during economic transition: an AIDS econometric model for Slovenia, 1988-2008," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 277-295, June.
    4. Mauro Vigani & Hasan Dudu & Gloria Solano-Hermosilla, 2019. "Estimation of food demand parameters in Ethiopia: A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) approach," JRC Research Reports JRC117125, Joint Research Centre.
    5. Mauro Vigani & Hasan Dudu & Emanuele Ferrari & Alfredo Mainar Causape, 2019. "Estimation of food demand parameters in Kenya. A Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) approach," JRC Research Reports JRC115472, Joint Research Centre.
    6. Yu, Xiaohua & Abler, David, 2016. "Matching food with mouths: A statistical explanation to the abnormal decline of per capita food consumption in rural China," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 36-43.
    7. Volchkova, N. & Kuznetsova, P., 2019. "How Much Do Counter-Sanctions Cost: Well-Being Analysis," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 43(3), pages 173-183.
    8. Miguel Ángel Borrella Mas & Mariano Bosch Mossi & Marcello Sartarelli, 2016. "Non-Contributory Pensions Number-Gender Effects on Poverty and Household Decisions," Working Papers. Serie AD 2016-02, Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas, S.A. (Ivie).
    9. Ngueuleweu Tiwang, Gildas, 2020. "Ph.D in Economics, Option Agricultural Economics," MPRA Paper 99798, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2020.
    10. Bouët, Antoine & Femenia, Fabienne & Laborde, David, 2014. "On the role of demand systems in CGE simulations of trade reforms," Conference papers 332443, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Tangermann, Stefan, 2011. "Policy Solutions to Agricultural Market Volatility: A Synthesis," Price Volatility and Beyond 320209, International Centre for Trade and Sustainable Development (ICTSD).
    12. Lionel Cosnard, 2019. "Taxing Sugar and Sugary Products to Reduce Obesity: A CGE Assessment of Several Tax Policies," Post-Print hal-03148821, HAL.
    13. Cosnard, Lionel & Laborde, David, 2019. "Taxing Sugar and Sugary Products to Reduce Obesity: A CGE Assessment of Several Tax Policies," Conference papers 333067, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    14. Matthias Staudigel & Rebecca Schröck, 2015. "Food Demand in Russia: Heterogeneous Consumer Segments over Time," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 66(3), pages 615-639, September.
    15. Isabelle RABAUD & Daniel MIRZA & Hajare EL HADRI, 2018. "Why Natural Disasters Might Not Lead to a Fall in Exports in Developing Countries?," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 2570, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    agricultural commodity prices; agricultural food demand; demand attributes; economic growth; food quality; price and income elasticities of demand; price volatility;
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