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Developing Country Debt and the Market Value of Large Commercial Banks

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Author Info
Steven C. Kyle
Jeffrey Sachs
Abstract

The effect on commercial banks of exposure to large amounts of developing country debt has been a topic of increasing concern in recent years. Fear of default on the part of the debtor countries has led to fears for the solvency of the creditor banks since in many cases the total of outstanding exposure to risky debtors exceeds the entire capital base of the banks involved. The paper presents a first effort towards measuring the effects of LDC debt exposure on the market value of large commercial value banks in the United States. Our results indicate that exposure to developing country debt has exerted a measurable and significant negative effect on the ratio of market to book value for these banks.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 1470.

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Date of creation: Sep 1984
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Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:1470

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  1. Laurie Goodman & William F. Sharpe, 1978. "Perspective on Bank Capital Adequacy: Time-Series Analysis," NBER Working Papers 0247, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Sule Ozler, 1986. "Valuation of Rescheduled Loans, 1978-1983: A Rational Expectations Approach," UCLA Economics Working Papers 414, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jeremy I. Bulow & Kenneth Rogoff, 1987. "A Constant Recontracting Model of Sovereign Debt," NBER Working Papers 2088, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. David Dollar, 1988. "Economic Reform and Allocative Efficiency in China's State-Owned Industry," UCLA Economics Working Papers 489, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Sule Ozler, 1988. "Rescheduling and Bank Value: A Rational Expectations Approach," UCLA Economics Working Papers 488, UCLA Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Huizinga, Harry, 1989. "How has the debt crisis affected commercial banks?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 195, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  6. Batarce, Jaime Andres, 1990. "The Impact Of The Brady Plan On Stockholders Wealth," Working Papers 90-10, C.V. Starr Center for Applied Economics, New York University. [Downloadable!]
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