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The Relevance of Malthus for the Study of Mortality Today: Long-Run Influences on Health, Mortality, Labor Force Participation, and Population Growth

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Robert W. Fogel

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Abstract

This paper argues that the secular decline in mortality, which began during the eighteenth century, is still in progress and will probably continue for another century or more. The evolutionary perspective presented in this paper focuses not only on the environment, which from the standpoint of human health and prosperity has become much more favorable than it was in Malthus's time, but also on changes in human physiology over the past three centuries which affect both economic and biomedical processes. A great deal of emphasis is placed on the interconnectedness of events and process over the life cycle and, by implication, between generations.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Historical Working Papers with number 0054.

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Date of creation: Mar 1994
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Publication status: published as Population, Economic Development, and the Environment, Kiessling, Kerstin Lindahl and Hans Landberg, eds., Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1994,pp. 231-284.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberhi:0054

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  1. Mayer, David, 2000. "On the Role of Health in the Economic and Demographic Dynamics of Brazil, 1980-1995," Arbetsrapport 2000:4, Institute for Futures Studies. [Downloadable!]
  2. Keng, Shao-Hsun & Huffman, Wallace, 2005. "Binge Drinking and Labor Market Success: A Longitudinal Study on Young People," Staff General Research Papers 12299, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  3. Dan Ben-David, 1997. "Convergence Clubs and Subsistence Economies," NBER Working Papers 6267, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. David E. Bloom & David Canning & Jaypee Sevilla, 2001. "Economic Growth and the Demographic Transition," NBER Working Papers 8685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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