Real Exchange Rate in Latvia (1994-2001)
AbstractThe analysis of the exchange rate in Latvia presented in this publication covers the period from 1994 until 2001. The analysis has been based on two commonly used methods: the single equation approach and macroeconomic balance approach. The existing fundamental variables in the economy warrant the exchange rate that is undervalued relative to its equilibrium. Therefore, the current exchange rate in Latvia generally corresponds to the current stage of economic development. The real appreciation of the exchange rate with respect to West European countries is in line with the appreciation of the trend exchange rate, which is driven mainly by rising productivity in the tradable sector. Therefore, the appreciation of the real exchange rate from 1994 to 2001 has not generally harmed foreign trade. As long as real appreciation is supported by underlying fundamental variables in the economy, it does not endanger the macroeconomic stability and growth.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Latvijas Banka in its series Working Papers with number 2002/01.
Date of creation: 28 Nov 2002
Date of revision:
real exchange rate; foreign trade;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
- E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
- E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
- F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
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