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Global Simulation Analysis of Industry-Level Trade Policy: the GSIM model

Author

Listed:
  • Joseph Francois

    (Johannes Kepler University Linz)

  • H. Keith Hall

    (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Abstract

This technical report brings together two papers on the linear and non-linear versions of the multi-region trade simulation model known as GSIM. It outlines a modeling strategy for the partial equilibrium analysis of tariff and antidumping policy on a global level. The framework is scalable, employs national product differentiation, and allows for the simultaneous assessment of trade policy changes (duties and undertakings), at the industry level, on a global, regional, or national level. Results allow the assessment of importer and exporter effects related to tariff revenues, exporter (producer) surplus, and importer (consumer) surplus. With additional data, national employment effects can also be fit into the basic framework. NOTE the *.zip archive includes Excel template models, and the technical papers that explain the model.

Suggested Citation

  • Joseph Francois & H. Keith Hall, 2009. "Global Simulation Analysis of Industry-Level Trade Policy: the GSIM model," IIDE Discussion Papers 20090803, Institue for International and Development Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:lnz:wpaper:20090803
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    File URL: http://www.i4ide.org/content/wpaper/dp20090803.zip
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adjemian, Michael K. & Smith, Aaron & He, Wendi, 2021. "Estimating the market effect of a trade war: The case of soybean tariffs," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    2. Jan Hagemejer & Jan Jakub Michałek & Karolina Pawlak, 2021. "Trade Implications of the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership for Poland’s Agri-Food Trade," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 13(1), pages 75-103, March.
    3. Vukšić, Goran & Holzner, Mario, 2016. "Trade and fiscal imbalances in Southeastern Europe: Can fiscal devaluation help?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 568-581.
    4. Mario Holzner & Valentina Ivanić, 2012. "Effects of Serbian Accession to the European Union," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 59(3), pages 355-367, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    GSIM; antidumping; partial equilibrium model; trade policy modeling; simulation model; global markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements

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