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Unit Roots and the Demand for Cigarettes in Turkey: Pitfalls and Possibilities

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Author Info
Katarina Juselius (Institute of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

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Abstract

The partial adjustment model for cigarette demand in Tansel (1993) is formulated as a restriction on the more general VAR model. The question whether the Tansel estimation results are spurious as claimed by Cameron and Collins (1998) is addressed in this framework. The role of intervention dummies and data transformations for the cointegration results is discussed in some detail. Finally, a more general model is estimated and two steady-state relations measuring demand and supply behaviour in the cigarette market are identified.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 01-02.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2001
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Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0102

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Related research
Keywords: Partial Adjustment Models; Cointegrated VAR; Intervention Dummies; Data Transformations; Identification;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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  1. Mustafa Ismihan & Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan & Aysit Tansel, 2005. "The role of macroeconomic instability in public and private capital accumulation and growth: the case of Turkey 1963-1999," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 239-251, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Mustafa Ismihan & Kivilcim Metin-Özcan & Aysit Tansel, 2002. "Macroeconomic instability, capital accumulation and growth: The case of Turkey 1963-1999," ERC Working Papers 0204, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Apr 2002. [Downloadable!]
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