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Evolution of the personal income distribution in the USA: High incomes

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  • Ivan O. Kitov

    ()
    (Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of income production and dissipation for any person above 15 years of age. The model accurately predicts the observed dependence of the number of people reaching the Pareto threshold on work experience and the functional dependence of the relationship on the per capita real GDP growth for the period from 1994 to 2002. Predictions of the income distribution depending on age are given for past and future. In future, relatively less rich people are observed in the younger age groups and the peak of the relative number shifts to older ages with time. The effect of the power law distribution extending itself to very high incomes is speculated to be the cause of low performance of socialist countries.

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File URL: http://www.ecineq.org/milano/WP/ECINEQ2005-02.pdf
File Function: First version, 2005
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality in its series Working Papers with number 02.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2005
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:inq:inqwps:ecineq2005-02

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Keywords: personal income distribution; Pareto distribution; microeconomic modeling; USA; real GDP; macroeconomics;

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  1. Ivan O. Kitov, 2005. "A model for microeconomic and macroeconomic development," Working Papers 05, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.
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Cited by:
  1. Kitov, Ivan, 2007. "Modeling the evolution of Gini coefficient for personal incomes in the USA between 1947 and 2005," MPRA Paper 2798, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg, 2013. "The dynamics of personal income distribution and inequality in the United States," MPRA Paper 48649, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Ivan O. Kitov, 2008. "Modelling the average income dependence on work experience," Papers 0811.0489, arXiv.org.
  4. Gertrudes Sa├║de Guerreiro, 2012. "Regional Income Distribution in Portugal," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2012_06, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
  5. Ivan O. Kitov, 2008. "Modeling the evolution of age-dependent Gini coefficient for personal incomes in the U.S. between 1967 and 2005," Working Papers 95, ECINEQ, Society for the Study of Economic Inequality.

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