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Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System

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  • Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau

Abstract

Despite increased need for top-down stress tests of financial institutions, performing them is challenging owing to the absence of granular information on banks’ trading and loan portfolios. To deal with these data shortcomings, this paper presents a market-based structural top-down stress testing methodology that relies in market-based measures of a bank's probability of default and structural models of default risk to infer the capital losses they could experience in stress scenarios. As an illustration, the methodology is applied to a set of banks in an advanced emerging market economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Jorge A Chan-Lau, 2013. "Market-Based Structural Top-Down Stress Tests of the Banking System," IMF Working Papers 2013/088, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2013/088
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Antonella Foglia, 2009. "Stress Testing Credit Risk: A Survey of Authorities' Aproaches," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(3), pages 9-45, September.
    2. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kuo-Wei Hsiao & Zhengyi Jiang, 2015. "The Pre- and Post-Crisis Stress Testing in the Banking Sector — A Literature Review," Global Credit Review (GCR), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(01), pages 77-97.
    2. Georgios Papadopoulos & Dionysios Chionis & Nikolaos P. Rachaniotis, 2018. "Macro-financial linkages during tranquil and crisis periods: evidence from stressed economies," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(2), pages 142-166, May.
    3. Sahin, Cenkhan & de Haan, Jakob & Neretina, Ekaterina, 2020. "Banking stress test effects on returns and risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).

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