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Measuring the Effect of Foreign Aidon Growth and Poverty Reduction or the Pitfalls of Interaction Variables

Author

Listed:
  • J. J. Polak
  • Joydeep Roy
  • Ms. Catherine A Pattillo

Abstract

Regressions in a number of recent papers written by staff members of the World Bank and the IMF rely on an interaction variable (IAV) to establish the effects of foreign aid on economic growth or the reduction of poverty. The common assumption in these papers is that if the coefficient of this IAV is statistically significant, then both of its components have a significant effect on the dependent variable. That assumption is not justified in its generality, and this paper develops two techniques that show a high probability that in at least two of the three studies analyzed one of the components of the IAV may not have a significant effect.

Suggested Citation

  • J. J. Polak & Joydeep Roy & Ms. Catherine A Pattillo, 2007. "Measuring the Effect of Foreign Aidon Growth and Poverty Reduction or the Pitfalls of Interaction Variables," IMF Working Papers 2007/145, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2007/145
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Didier Yelognisse Alia & Romuald E. Kouadio Anago, 2014. "Foreign Aid Effectiveness in African Economies: Evidence from a Panel Threshold Framework," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2014-015, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    2. Okullo, Samuel J. & Reynès, Frédéric, 2011. "Can reserve additions in mature crude oil provinces attenuate peak oil?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 5755-5764.
    3. M. Adnan Kabir, 2020. "Foreign Aid Effectiveness: Evidence from Panel Data Analysis," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(3), pages 283-302, September.
    4. Hauke Feil, 2021. "The cancer of corruption and World Bank project performance: Is there a connection?," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 39(3), pages 381-397, May.
    5. Felicitas Nowak‐Lehmann & Axel Dreher & Dierk Herzer & Stephan Klasen & Inmaculada Martínez‐Zarzoso, 2012. "Does foreign aid really raise per capita income? A time series perspective," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(1), pages 288-313, February.
    6. Felicitas Nowak-Lehmann D. & Inmaculada Martínez-Zarzoso & Dierk Herzer & Stephan Klasen & Axel Dreher, 2009. "In Search for a Long-run Relationship between Aid and Growth: Pitfalls and Findings," Ibero America Institute for Econ. Research (IAI) Discussion Papers 196, Ibero-America Institute for Economic Research.
    7. Wako, Hassen, 2011. "Effectiveness of foreign aid in sub-Saharan Africa: Does disaggregating aid into bilateral and multilateral components make a difference?," MPRA Paper 72617, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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