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Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Belarus

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  • Mr. Rodolfo Maino
  • Mr. Balázs Horváth

Abstract

We explore monetary policy transmission by estimating VAR impulse response functions to illustrate the Belarusian economy's response to unexpected changes in policy and exogenous variables. We find a significant exchange rate pass-through to prices, and interest rate policy following, rather than leading, financial market developments. Our estimated monetary policy reaction function shows the central bank striking a balance between real exchange rate stability and containing inflation. We discuss dollarization, administrative interventions, and other features complicating monetary policy transmission, review specific constraints and vulnerabilities, and conclude with observations on possible measures that could raise the effectiveness of monetary policy in Belarus.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Rodolfo Maino & Mr. Balázs Horváth, 2006. "Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in Belarus," IMF Working Papers 2006/246, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2006/246
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Republic of Belarus: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/137, International Monetary Fund.
    2. repec:zbw:bofitp:2010_014 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Isakova, Asel, 2010. "Currency substitution in the economies of Central Asia : how much does it cost?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 14/2010, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    4. Miksjuk Alexei, 2011. "Study the relation between monetary and exchange rate policy: The case of Belarus," EERC Working Paper Series 11/16e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
    5. Sheikh Khurram Fazal & Muhammad Abdus Salam, 2013. "Interest Rate Pass-Through: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 18(1), pages 39-62, Jan-June.
    6. Besnik Fetai, 2013. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Transition Economies: The Case of Republic of Macedonia," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 20(3), pages 309-324, November.
    7. Alex Miksjuk & Mr. Sam Ouliaris & Mikhail Pranovich, 2015. "The Game of Anchors: Studying the Causes of Currency Crises in Belarus," IMF Working Papers 2015/281, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Jamilov, Rustam, 2012. "Channels of Monetary Transmission in the CIS," MPRA Paper 39568, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Asel Isakova, 2010. "Currency Substitution in the Economies of Central Asia: How Much Does it Cost?," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Peter Mooslechner & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald (ed.), The Euro and Economic Stability, chapter 9, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    10. Djula Borozan, 2011. "Granger causality and innovation accounting analysis of the monetary transmission mechanism in Croatia," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(4), pages 517-537, May.

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