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International Spillovers of Macroeconomic Shocks: A Quantitative Exploration

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  • Mr. Douglas Laxton
  • Mr. Eswar S Prasad

Abstract

This paper provides a quantitative exploration of international spillovers of macroeconomic shocks among the major industrial economies. The particular topical example analyzed here concerns the possible effects on the industrial economies of adverse shocks to the current U.S. economic expansion. The potential spillover effects of U.S. shocks to other industrial economies are found to be quite large. Extant economic conditions, particularly the low levels of nominal interest rates and the consequent possibility of liquidity traps in countries such as Japan, could significantly magnify these spillover effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Douglas Laxton & Mr. Eswar S Prasad, 2000. "International Spillovers of Macroeconomic Shocks: A Quantitative Exploration," IMF Working Papers 2000/101, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2000/101
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    Cited by:

    1. Dungey, Mardi & Gajurel, Dinesh, 2015. "Contagion and banking crisis – International evidence for 2007–2009," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 271-283.
    2. Ferdinand Fichtner, 2003. "Germany and the European Business Cycle - An Analysis of Causal Relations in an International Real Business Cycle Model," IWP Discussion Paper Series 01/2003, Institute for Economic Policy, Cologne, Germany.
    3. Daniel Agyapong, 2014. "Macroeconomic Spillover and Single Currency Adoption: An Inter-regional Analysis," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 64(3), pages 73-93, July-Sept.
    4. Marek Lubiński, 2007. "International Business Cycle," Contemporary Economics, University of Economics and Human Sciences in Warsaw., vol. 1(2), June.
    5. Swamy, Vighneswara, 2020. "Macroeconomic transmission of Eurozone shocks to India—A mean-adjusted Bayesian VAR approach," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 126-150.

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