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Index Number Biases During Price Liberalization

Author

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  • Kent Osband

Abstract

When a formerly centrally-planned economy frees prices and allows or compels producers to respond to market signals, conventional measures tend to severely overstate short–run output decline and inflation. In part the overstatement stems from neglect of private sector activity, or from belated recognition of inflation previously disguised as quality improvements. Even when individual prices and outputs are correctly measured, however, shifts in relative prices consequent to price decontrol create a serious aggregation problem. Moreover, the standard indices ignore the deflationary trends in black markets. Superior growth and inflation indices are devised using a combination of official and black market prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Kent Osband, 1991. "Index Number Biases During Price Liberalization," IMF Working Papers 1991/076, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:1991/076
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    Cited by:

    1. S. Fisher & R. Sahay & C. A. Vegh, 1997. "Stabilization and Growth in Transition Economies: The Early Experience," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, vol. 5.
    2. Jim Leitzel, 1993. "Russian Economic Reform: Is Economics Helpful?," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 19(3), pages 365-378, Summer.
    3. Kasper Bartholdy, 1997. "Old and new problems in the estimation of national accounts in transiton economies1," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 5(1), pages 131-146, May.

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