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Ill-conditioned problems, Fisher information and weak instruments

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Author Info
Giovanni Forchini
Grant Hillier

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Abstract

The existence of a uniformly consistent estimator for a particular parameter is well-known to depend on the uniform continuity of the functional that defines the parameter in terms of the model. Recently, Pötscher (Econometrica, 70, pp 1035 - 1065) showed that estimator risk may be bounded below by a term that depends on the oscillation (osc) of the functional, thus making the connection between continuity and risk quite explicit. However, osc has no direct statistical interpretation. In this paper we slightly modify the definition of osc so that it reflects a (generalized) derivative (der) of the functional. We show that der can be directly related to the familiar statistical concepts of Fisher information and identification, and also to the condition numbers that are used to measure Ѥistance from an ill-posed problem' in other branches of applied mathematics. We begin the analysis assuming a fully parametric setting, but then generalize to the nonparametric case, where the inverse of the Fisher information matrix is replaced by the covariance matrix of the efficient influence function. The results are applied to a number of examples, including the structural equation model, spectral density estimation, and estimation of variance and precision.

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Paper provided by Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies in its series CeMMAP working papers with number CWP04/05.

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Length: 32 pp.
Date of creation: Apr 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:04/05

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Related research
Keywords: Continuity; Derivative; Divergence; Fisher Information; Ill-conditioned problem; Ill-posed problem; Interest-functional; Oscillation; Precision;

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  3. Keisuke Hirano & Guido W. Imbens & Geert Ridder, 2003. "Efficient Estimation of Average Treatment Effects Using the Estimated Propensity Score," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1161-1189, 07. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Imbens, Guido W, 1992. "An Efficient Method of Moments Estimator for Discrete Choice Models with Choice-Based Sampling," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(5), pages 1187-214, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1991. "Specification testing and quasi-maximum- likelihood estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1-2), pages 29-55. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Newey, Whitney K. & McFadden, Daniel, 1986. "Large sample estimation and hypothesis testing," Handbook of Econometrics, in: R. F. Engle & D. McFadden (ed.), Handbook of Econometrics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 36, pages 2111-2245 Elsevier. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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