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Prognose 2010/2011: Der Arbeitsmarkt schließt an den vorherigen Aufschwung an (Forecast 2010/2011: German labour market continues pre-crisis progression)

Author

Listed:
  • Fuchs, Johann

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Hummel, Markus

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Klinger, Sabine

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

  • Spitznagel, Eugen

    (IAB)

  • Wanger, Susanne

    (IAB)

  • Zika, Gerd

    (Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Nuremberg, Germany)

Abstract

"This brief report deals with the main reasons for the moderate response of the German labour market to the worldwide crisis. From that starting point, it outlines the short-term forecast for labour supply and demand: The situation on the labour market will continue to improve, but at a lower rate. Employment is expected to reach its highest point at 40.63 million in 2011. Since the labour supply will fall by 120,000 people in 2011, unemployment will probably decrease below 3 million." (Author's abstract, IAB-Doku) ((en))

Suggested Citation

  • Fuchs, Johann & Hummel, Markus & Klinger, Sabine & Spitznagel, Eugen & Wanger, Susanne & Zika, Gerd, 2010. "Prognose 2010/2011: Der Arbeitsmarkt schließt an den vorherigen Aufschwung an (Forecast 2010/2011: German labour market continues pre-crisis progression)," IAB-Kurzbericht 201018, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    • Handle: RePEc:iab:iabkbe:201018
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fahr René & Sunde Uwe, 2009. "Did the Hartz Reforms Speed-Up the Matching Process? A Macro- Evaluation Using Empirical Matching Functions," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 10(3), pages 284-316, August.
    2. Sabine Klinger & Thomas Rothe, 2010. "Entwicklung der Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit in Aufschwung und Krise," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 90(9), pages 632-634, September.
    3. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe & Dominik Groll & Wolfgang Lechthaler & Christian Merkl, 2010. "The Role of Labor Market Institutions in the Great Recession," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 61(Supplemen), pages 65-88.
    4. René Fahr & Uwe Sunde, 2009. "Did the Hartz Reforms Speed‐Up the Matching Process? A Macro‐Evaluation Using Empirical Matching Functions," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 10(3), pages 284-316, August.
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