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Regression methods in pricing American and Bermudan options using consumption processes

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Author Info
Denis Belomestny
Grigori N. Milstein
Vladimir Spokoiny
Abstract

Here we develop methods for e±cient pricing multidimensional discrete-time American and Bermudan options by using regression based algorithms together with a new approach towards constructing upper bounds for the price of the option. Applying the sample space with payoffs at the optimal stopping times, we propose sequential estimates for continuation values, values of the consumption process, and stopping times on the sample paths. The approach admits constructing both low and upper bounds for the price by Monte Carlo simulations. The methods are illustrated by pricing Bermudan swaptions and snowballs in the Libor market model.

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Paper provided by Sonderforschungsbereich 649, Humboldt University, Berlin, Germany in its series SFB 649 Discussion Papers with number SFB649DP2006-051.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2006
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Handle: RePEc:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2006-051

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Related research
Keywords: American and Bermudan options Low and Upper bounds Monte Carlo simulations Consumption process Regression methods Optimal stopping times

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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  1. Longstaff, Francis A & Schwartz, Eduardo S, 2001. "Valuing American Options by Simulation: A Simple Least-Squares Approach," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 113-47.
  2. Boyle, Phelim & Broadie, Mark & Glasserman, Paul, 1997. "Monte Carlo methods for security pricing," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(8-9), pages 1267-1321, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Broadie, Mark & Glasserman, Paul, 1997. "Pricing American-style securities using simulation," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 21(8-9), pages 1323-1352, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Vladislav Kargin, 2003. "Lattice Option Pricing By Multidimensional Interpolation," Finance 0309003, EconWPA, revised 29 Oct 2004. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Anastasia Kolodko & John Schoenmakers, 2006. "Iterative construction of the optimal Bermudan stopping time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 27-49, 01. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Vlad Bally & Gilles Pagès & Jacques Printems, 2005. "A Quantization Tree Method For Pricing And Hedging Multidimensional American Options," Mathematical Finance, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 15(1), pages 119-168. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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