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Detection Biases in Bluffing

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Author Info
Holm, Håkan J. () (Department of Economics, Lund University)
Abstract

Beliefs in signals that reveal lies or truths are widespread. These signals may lead to a truth or lie detection bias if the probability that such a signal is perceived by the receiver is contingent on the truth value of the sender’s message. Such detection biases are analyzed theoretically in a bluffing game. The detection bias shrinks the equilibrium set to a unique non-pooling equilibrium, in which the better a player is at detecting lies the more often the opponent player will lie. With proper deception techniques such biases can in principle be used to extract hidden information.

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File URL: http://www.nek.lu.se/publications/workpap/Papers/WP08_4.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Lund University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 2008:4.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 29 Feb 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:lunewp:2008_004

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Postal: Department of Economics, School of Economics and Management, Lund University, Box 7082, S-220 07 Lund,Sweden
Phone: +46 +46 222 0000
Fax: +46 +46 2224613
Web page: http://www.nek.lu.se/
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Related research
Keywords: Bluffing Game theory Truth detection Lie detection Detection bias

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C72 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Noncooperative Games
D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information

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This page was last updated on 2008-7-1.


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