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Maximum-likelihood based inference in the two-way random effects model with serially correlated time effects

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Author Info
Karlsson, Sune () (Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics)
Skoglund, Jimmy () (Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics)

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Abstract

This paper considers maximum likelihood estimation and inference in the two-way random effects model with serial correlation. We derive a straightforward maximum likelihood estimator when the time-specific component follow an AR(1) or MA(1) process. The estimator is easily generalized to arbitrary stationary and strictly invertible ARMA processes. In addition we consider the model selection problem and derive tests of the null hypothesis of no serial correlation as well as tests for discriminating between the AR(1) and MA(1) specifications. A Monte-Carlo experiment evaluates the finite-sample properties of the estimators, test-statistics and model selection procedures.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Stockholm School of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance with number 383.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 15 May 2000
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Publication status: Published in Empirical Economics, 2004, pages 79-88.
Handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0383

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Postal: The Economic Research Institute, Stockholm School of Economics, P.O. Box 6501, 113 83 Stockholm, Sweden
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Related research
Keywords: Panel data autocorrelation time specific effect variance components

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Estimation
C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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  1. Paolo, Foschi, 2005. "Estimating regressions and seemingly unrelated regressions with error component disturbances," MPRA Paper 1424, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 07 Sep 2006. [Downloadable!]
  2. Jimmy Skoglund & Sune Karlsson, 2002. "Asymptotics for random effects models with serial correlation," 10th International Conference on Panel Data, Berlin, July 5-6, 2002 A6-1, International Conferences on Panel Data. [Downloadable!]
  3. Badi H. Baltagi, 2007. "Forecasting with Panel Data," Center for Policy Research Working Papers 91, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University. [Downloadable!]
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