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Catch-up and convergence : a model of cumulative growth
[[Rattrapage et convergence : un modèle de croissance cumulative]]

Author

Listed:
  • Bruno Amable

    (Station d'économie et de sociologie rurales de paris - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

Abstract

Un modèle de croissance cumulative est construit dans le but d'expliquer les types de convergence et de divergence dans les niveaux de productivité pour un vaste échantillon de pays développés et en développement. Les déterminants de la croissance sont endogénéisés : part de l'investissement d'équipement dans le PNB, activité innovante et niveau de formation. L'hypothèse du rattrapage établit que les pays restés en arrière devraient bénéficier d'un taux plus élevé d'accroissement de la productivité. En réalité, cette hypothèse doit être modérée, car les pays qui possèdent une "capacité sociale" (social capability) ne peuvent rattraper les leaders technologiques. Le modèle présenté ici prend en compte quelques déterminants importants de la capacité sociale. Il est estimé sur un échantillon de 59 pays pour la période 1960-1985. Contrairement à ce que l'on constate dans la plupart des études récentes, c'est plus un schéma général de divergence que de convergence des niveaux de productivité qui apparaît.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruno Amable, 1993. "Catch-up and convergence : a model of cumulative growth [[Rattrapage et convergence : un modèle de croissance cumulative]]," Post-Print hal-02707053, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02707053
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    Cited by:

    1. Silva, Ester G. & Teixeira, Aurora A.C., 2008. "Surveying structural change: Seminal contributions and a bibliometric account," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 273-300, December.
    2. Lavopa, A., 2014. "Catching up and lagging behind in a balance-of-payments-constrained dual economy," MERIT Working Papers 2014-042, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    3. Dosi, Giovanni & Roventini, Andrea & Russo, Emanuele, 2019. "Endogenous growth and global divergence in a multi-country agent-based model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 101-129.
    4. Miguel A. LeÛn-Ledesma, 2002. "Accumulation, innovation and catching-up: an extended cumulative growth model," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 26(2), pages 201-216, March.
    5. Ardeshir Sepehri & Saeed Moshiri, 2004. "Inflation-Growth Profiles Across Countries: Evidence from Developing and Developed Countries," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 191-207.
    6. ten Raa, Thijs & Wolff, Edward N., 2000. "Engines of growth in the US economy," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 473-489, December.
    7. Elias Soukiazis & Micaela Antunes, 2013. "Growth Performance in Portugal since the 1960s: A Simultaneous Equation Approach with Cumulative Causation Characteristics," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(1), pages 169-192.
    8. Luca De Benedictis, 1998. "Note su specializzazione, innovazione, crescita e bilancia dei pagamenti," Working Papers 03-1998, Macerata University, Department of Finance and Economic Sciences, revised Sep 2015.
    9. Young Lee & Jeong Hun Oh & Hwan-Joo Seo, 2002. "Digital Divide and Growth Gap: A Cumulative Relationship," WIDER Working Paper Series DP2002-88, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    10. Najeh AISSAOUI, 2017. "ICT and growth gap between nations: Evidence from MENA region," E3 Journal of Business Management and Economics., E3 Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 026-037.
    11. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/46k9rkvut99i7qnn4vqm25t53b is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Philip Arestis & Malcolm Sawyer, 1997. "Reasserting the Role of Keynesian Policies for the New Millenium," Economics Working Paper Archive wp_207, Levy Economics Institute.
    13. Norman Sedgley & Bruce Elmslie, 2004. "The Geographic Concentration of Knowledge: Scale, Agglomeration, and Congestion in Innovation Across U.S. States," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 27(2), pages 111-137, April.
    14. Lydia Greunz, 2001. "European regional growth, technology gap and R&D efforts," ERSA conference papers ersa01p92, European Regional Science Association.
    15. Fulvio Castellacci, 2002. "Technology Gap and Cumulative Growth: Models and outcomes," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(3), pages 333-346.
    16. Carton, Christine, 2007. "Un modèle de croissance cumulative étendu á l’éducation: une validation empirique pour la région asiatique [A model of cumulative growth extended to education: an empirical assessment for the Asian," MPRA Paper 20549, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Daniels, Peter L., 1996. "Technology investment and growth in economic welfare," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 24(7), pages 1243-1266, July.
    18. Miguel A. León-Ledesma, 2002. "Cumulative Growth and the Catching-Up Debate From a Disequilibrium Standpoint," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: John McCombie & Maurizio Pugno & Bruno Soro (ed.), Productivity Growth and Economic Performance, chapter 8, pages 197-218, Palgrave Macmillan.
    19. Norman Sedgley, 1998. "Technology gaps, economic growth and convergence across US states," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 55-59.
    20. Patrick Llerena & André Lorentz, 2003. "Alternative Theories on Economic Growth and the Co-evolution of Macro-Dynamics and Technological Change: A survey," LEM Papers Series 2003/27, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
    21. Patricia M. Flynn & Ross J. Gittell & Norman H. Sedgley, 1999. "New England as the twenty-first century approaches: no time for complacency," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Nov, pages 41-53.
    22. Castellacci, Fulvio, 2008. "Innovation and the competitiveness of industries: comparing the mainstream and the evolutionary approaches," MPRA Paper 27523, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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