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Savings, investment, and capital mobility within China

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  • Cheng Li

    (ERUDITE - Equipe de Recherche sur l’Utilisation des Données Individuelles en lien avec la Théorie Economique - UPEM - Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée - UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

Abstract

This paper addresses the capital mobility among regions within China. Using a range of panel estimators which deals with the non-stationarity of time series components, individual heterogeneity and common unobserved factors. we show that the savings and investment (both expressed as ratios to GDP) are positively correlated for a sample of 28 Chinese provinces over the period of 1978 to 2006. According to the Feldstein-Horioka's argument (1980, Economic journal (90), pp.314-329), such a correlation can be interpreted as evidence of low capital mobility. In addition, by means of Granger causality test, we fail to provide consistent evidence to support the hypothesis of efficient capital allocation in China. Combining the results given above, it is believed that the capital may be inefficiently retained within the provincial confines. We conjecture that the intermarriage between financial power and local authorities is primarily responsible for this worrying phenomenon. (C) 2009 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng Li, 2010. "Savings, investment, and capital mobility within China," Post-Print hal-00693048, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00693048
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2009.08.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Kwon, Ohyun & Fleisher, Belton M. & McGuire, William H. & Zhao, Min Qiang, 2020. "Provincial Trade, Financial Friction and Misallocation in China," IZA Discussion Papers 13074, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Rajarshi Mitra, 2017. "Domestic Saving-Investment Correlation Puzzle Revisited: A Time Series Analysis for South Africa," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1217-1225.
    3. Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2013. "The national and regional effects of fiscal decentralisation in China," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 51(3), pages 731-760, December.
    4. Te Lai, 2015. "Regional Capital Mobility in China: An Endogenous Parameter Approach," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 2(3), pages 63-75, August.
    5. Natalya Ketenci, 2016. "The Feldstein–Horioka Puzzle and Structural Breaks: Evidence from the Largest Countries of Asia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 10(3), pages 337-354, August.
    6. Wang, Daili, 2013. "鼓励还是抑制？初探外商直接投资与新民营企业进入 [Foreign Direct Investment and the Entry of New Firms]," MPRA Paper 50984, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Gábor Kutasi & Andrea Lőrincz & Eszter Szabó, 2019. "Impact of Savings on Capitalization: Case of Southeast Asian Economies," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 30-40.
    8. Phiri, Andrew, 2019. "The Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle and the Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from South Africa using Asymmetric Cointegration Analysis," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 72(2), pages 139-170.
    9. Chan, Kenneth S. & Dang, Vinh Q.T. & Lai, Jennifer T. & Yan, Isabel K.M., 2011. "Regional capital mobility in China: 1978–2006," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 1506-1515.
    10. Mingming Jiang, 2014. "Saving–investment Association and Regional Capital Mobility in China: A Nonparametric Panel Approach," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 184-200, May.
    11. Kenneth Chan & Jennifer Lai & Isabel Yan, 2013. "Special Issue. Guest Editor: Zhihao Yu," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 430-446, August.
    12. Ellwood, Sheila & Greenwood, Margaret, 2016. "Accounting for heritage assets: Does measuring economic value ‘kill the cat’?," CRITICAL PERSPECTIVES ON ACCOUNTING, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-13.
    13. Phiri, Andrew, 2017. "The Feldstein-Horioka puzzle and the global recession period: Evidence from South Africa using asymmetric cointegration analysis," MPRA Paper 79096, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Lin, S. & Han, H., 2018. "Government size, institutional quality, and capital flows across regions in China: a specific exploration on the failure of capital flows across Shanhai Pass," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277515, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Qian, Xianhang & Wang, Ying & Zhang, Guangli, 2018. "The spatial correlation network of capital flows in China: Evidence from China's High-Value Payment System," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 175-186.
    16. Rajarshi Mitra, 2015. "Saving-Investment Correlation and Capital Flows: The Philippines 1960-2014," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2853-2861.
    17. Deng, Liuchun & Wang, Boqun, 2016. "Regional capital flows and economic regimes: Evidence from China," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 80-83.
    18. Wang, Shoukun, 2016. "China's interregional capital mobility: A spatial econometric estimation," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 114-128.
    19. Curran, Louise & Lv, Ping & Spigarelli, Francesca, 2017. "Chinese investment in the EU renewable energy sector: Motives, synergies and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 670-682.
    20. Ketenci, Natalya, 2014. "The Feldstein –Horioka Puzzle and structural breaks: Evidence from the largest countries of Asia," MPRA Paper 54660, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Samuel Cudré, 2014. "Capital’s long march west: saving and investment frictions in Chinese regions," ECON - Working Papers 161, Department of Economics - University of Zurich.
    22. Saileshsingh Gunessee & Cheng Zhang, 2022. "The economics of domestic market integration," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1069-1095, September.
    23. Lai, Jennifer T. & McNelis, Paul D. & Yan, Isabel K.M., 2013. "Regional capital mobility in China: Economic reform with limited financial integration," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 493-503.
    24. Anping Chen & Nicolaas Groenewold, 2011. "Regional Equality and National Development in China: Is There a Trade‐Off?," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(4), pages 628-669, December.
    25. Taofeek Olusola Ayinde & Olumuyiwa Ganiyu Yinusa & Yulia Rodionova, 2018. "Global and Regional Capital Mobilities in Sub-Saharan African Economies: Complement or Substitute?," SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, SPOUDAI Journal of Economics and Business, University of Piraeus, vol. 68(4), pages 51-71, October-D.

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