The likely impact of the EMU on the variability and level of employment is analysed. The major conclusions are: (1) Although an inflation-target regime will constrain monetary policy of a non-participant in the EMU, it still leaves considerable scope for exchange-rate changes in the case of country-specific demand shocks, provided that there is some nominal price and wage flexibility. (2) Variations in payroll taxes can be used as a substitute for exchange-rate changes in the EMU, but it will be an imperfect substitute. (3) Money-Wage flexibility is likely to be larger inside than outside the EMU, but probably not by much. (4) There are various mechanisms through which the EMU may affect the incentives for labour-market reform to reduce equilibrium unemployment, but the net impact is highly uncertai n.
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Paper provided by Stockholm - International Economic Studies in its series Papers with number
657.
Length: 40 pages Date of creation: 1998 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:fth:stocin:657
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Find related papers by JEL classification: E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies E69 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Other F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions J29 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Other J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General
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