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A General Theory of Hypothesis Testing in the Simultaneous Equations Model

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Marcelo J. Moreira

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Abstract

Classical exponential-family statistical theory is employed to characterize the class of exactly similar tests for a structural coefficient in a simultaneous equations model with normal errors and known reduced-form covariance matrix. We also find a necessary condition for tests to be unbiased and derive their power envelope. When the model is just-identified, we show that the Anderson-Rubin score, and conditioal likelihood ratio tests are optimal. When the model is over-identified, there exists no optimal tests. Nevertheless, Monte Carlo simulations indicate that the power curve of the conditional likelihood ratio tests is reasonably close to the power envelope.

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Paper provided by Harvard - Institute of Economic Research in its series Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers with number 1992.

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Date of creation: 2003
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Handle: RePEc:fth:harver:1992

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  1. DUFOUR, Jean-Marie Dufour & KHALAF, Lynda & KICHIAN, Maral, 2005. "Inflation dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: an identification robust econometric analysis," Cahiers de recherche 2005-17, Universite de Montreal, Departement de sciences economiques. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Khalaf, Lynda & Kichian, Maral, 2003. "Are New Keynesian Phillips Curved Identified?," Cahiers de recherche 0312, GREEN. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian, 2004. "Estimating New Keynesian Phillips Curves Using Exact Methods," Working Papers 04-11, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  4. David Albouy, 2006. "The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Investigation of the Settler Mortality Data," Center for International and Development Economics Research, Working Paper Series 1055, Center for International and Development Economics Research, Institute for Business and Economic Research, UC Berkeley. [Downloadable!]
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