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Inflation targeting in a small open economy: empirical results for Switzerland

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  • Michael J. Dueker
  • Andreas M. Fischer

Abstract

This paper extends McCallum?s (1987) nominal targeting rule to a small open economy by allowing for feedback from the exchange rate. Instead of setting parameters in a McCallum-type targeting rule and simulating, the parameters are estimated using a markov switching model. We argue that a model of discrete parameter changes should be adept at capturing sudden changes in policy regime, such as changes in the degree to which monetary policy admits feedback from the exchange rate. We examine the legitimacy of an inflation targeting rule with occasional exchangerate feedback to describe Swiss monetary policy over the past twenty years.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael J. Dueker & Andreas M. Fischer, 1995. "Inflation targeting in a small open economy: empirical results for Switzerland," Working Papers 1995-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:1995-014
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bennett T. McCallum, 1987. "The case for rules in the conduct of monetary policy: a concrete example," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 73(Sep), pages 10-18.
    2. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    3. Bennett T. McCallum, 1995. "Monetary Policy Rules and Financial Stability," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Kuniho Sawamoto & Zenta Nakajima & Hiroo Taguchi (ed.), Financial Stability in a Changing Environment, chapter 9, pages 389-438, Palgrave Macmillan.
    4. Bennett T. McCallum, 1993. "Specification and Analysis of a Monetary Policy Rule for Japan," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 11(2), pages 1-45, December.
    5. Markus Lusser, 1990. "Monetary Policy and Banking Stability," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Zuhayr Mikdashi (ed.), Bankers’ and Public Authorities’ Management of Risks, chapter 12, pages 180-186, Palgrave Macmillan.
    6. Ben Bernanke & Frederic Mishkin, 1992. "Central Bank Behavior and the Strategy of Monetary Policy: Observations from Six Industrialized Countries," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1992, Volume 7, pages 183-238, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Mccallum, Bennet T., 1988. "Robustness properties of a rule for monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 173-203, January.
    8. David L. Mengle & Christian Vital, 1988. "SIC: Switzerland's new electronic interbank payment system," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, vol. 74(Nov), pages 12-27.
    9. Kim, Chang-Jin, 1994. "Dynamic linear models with Markov-switching," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 1-22.
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    Keywords

    Inflation (Finance); Switzerland;

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