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Inflation targeting in a small open economy: empirical results for Switzerland

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Author Info
Michael Dueker
Andreas M. Fischer

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Abstract

This paper extends McCallum?s (1987) nominal targeting rule to a small open economy by allowing for feedback from the exchange rate. Instead of setting parameters in a McCallum-type targeting rule and simulating, the parameters are estimated using a markov switching model. We argue that a model of discrete parameter changes should be adept at capturing sudden changes in policy regime, such as changes in the degree to which monetary policy admits feedback from the exchange rate. We examine the legitimacy of an inflation targeting rule with occasional exchangerate feedback to describe Swiss monetary policy over the past twenty years.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis in its series Working Papers with number 1995-014.

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Date of creation: 1995
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Publication status: Published in Journal of Monetary Economics, 37 (1), pages 89-103 (February 1996)
Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:1995-014

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Keywords: Inflation (Finance) ; Switzerland;

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Mccallum, Bennet T., 1988. "Robustness properties of a rule for monetary policy," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 173-203, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-84, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Kim, Chang-Jin, 1994. "Dynamic linear models with Markov-switching," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1-2), pages 1-22. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. repec:fip:fedreq:y:1987:i:sep:p:10-18:n:v.73no.5 is not listed on IDEAS
  5. Bennett T. McCallum, 1994. "Specification and Analysis of a Monetary Policy Rule for Japan," NBER Working Papers 4449, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Charles Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 1999. "Unit Root Tests in the Presence of Markov Regime-Switching," Discussion Papers in Economics at the University of Washington 0040, Department of Economics at the University of Washington. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Katrin Wesche, 2003. "Monetary Policy in Europe: Evidence from Time-Varying Taylor Rules," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers bgse21_2003, University of Bonn, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  3. Dueker, Michael & Fischer, Andreas M, 2001. "The Mechanics of a Successful Exchange-Rate Peg: Lessons for emerging Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 2829, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Dai, Meixing, 2006. "Independent inflation-targeting regime versus monetary union: An analysis of dynamic stability under endogenous inflation expectations," MPRA Paper 15142, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Charles R. Nelson & Jeremy Piger & Eric Zivot, 2000. "Markov regime-switching and unit root tests," International Finance Discussion Papers 683, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
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  6. Michael Dueker & Gyuhan Kim, 1998. "A monetary policy feedback rule in Korea's fast-growing economy," Working Papers 1998-014, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Michael J. Dueker & Andreas M. Fischer, 1997. "The FOMC in 1996: "watchful waiting"," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, issue Jul, pages 7-23. [Downloadable!]
  8. Edward Nelson, 2006. "Ireland and Switzerland: the jagged edges of the Great Inflation," Working Papers 2006-016, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
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