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Mergers and risk

Author

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  • Craig H. Furfine
  • Richard J. Rosen

Abstract

This paper examines the impact of mergers on default risk, finding that, on average, a merger increases the default risk of the acquiring firm. This is surprising for two reasons: risk reduction is among the reasons commonly cited for mergers, and asset diversification should reduce default risk unless the newly-merged firm takes some action to increase risk. We associate the risk increase with mergers satisfying one of a trifecta of conditions related to agency problems: mergers financed with stock, acquirers with a high market- to-book ratio, and acquirers with poor stock price performance prior to a merger announcement. We also demonstrate higher levels of default risk are not accompanied by higher post- merger returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Craig H. Furfine & Richard J. Rosen, 2006. "Mergers and risk," Working Paper Series WP-06-09, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:wp-06-09
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    File URL: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/publications/working_papers/2006/wp2006_09.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Bhanot, Karan & Mansi, Sattar A. & Wald, John K., 2010. "Takeover risk and the correlation between stocks and bonds," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 381-393, June.
    2. Altunbas, Yener & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Marques-Ibanez, David, 2010. "Bank risk and monetary policy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 121-129, September.
    3. Randy I. Anderson & John D. Stowe & Xuejing Xing, 2011. "Does Corporate Diversification Reduce Firm Risk? Evidence from Diversifying Acquisitions," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(03), pages 485-504.
    4. Gregory D. Maslak & Gonca Senel, 2023. "Bank Consolidation and Systemic Risk: M&A During the 2008 Financial Crisis," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 63(2), pages 201-220, April.
    5. Altunbas, Yener & Gambacorta, Leonardo & Marques-Ibanez, David, 2009. "Securitisation and the bank lending channel," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(8), pages 996-1009, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank mergers; Risk management;

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