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Why are semiconductor prices falling so fast? Industry estimates and implications for productivity measurement

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Author Info
Ana Aizcorbe

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Abstract

By any measure, price deflators for semiconductors fell at a staggering pace over much of the last decade. These rapid declines are typically attributed to technological innovations that lower constant-quality manufacturing costs. But, given Intel's dominance in the microprocessor market, those price declines may also reflect changes in Intel's profit margins. Disaggregate data on Intel's operations are used to explore these issues. There are three basic findings. First, the industry data show that Intel's markups from its microprocessor segment shrank substantially from 1993-99. Second, about 3-1/2 percentage points of the average 24 percent price decline in a price index for Intel's chips can be attributed to declines in these profit margins over this period. And, finally, the data suggest that virtually all of the remaining price declines can be attributed to quality increases associated with product innovation.

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Paper provided by Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.) in its series Finance and Economics Discussion Series with number 2002-20.

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Date of creation: 2002
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedgfe:2002-20

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Related research
Keywords: Semiconductor industry Prices Technological innovations

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  1. Ana Aizcorbe, 2005. "Product Introductions and Price Measures for Microprocessor Chips in the 1990s," Industrial Organization 0502004, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  2. Dale W. Jorgenson & Mun S. Ho & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2002. "Projecting productivity growth: lessons from the U.S. growth resurgence," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Q3, pages 1-13. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Dean Parham, 2002. "Productivity and Policy Reform in Australia," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 5, pages 53-63, Fall. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ana Aizcorbe, 2005. "Moore's Law, Competition and Intel's Productivity in the Mid-1990s," BEA Working Papers 0027, Bureau of Economic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  5. Ana Aizcorbe, 2005. "Moore's Law, Competition, and Intel's Productivity in the Mid-1990s," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(2), pages 305-308, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Dale W. Jorgenson & Mun S. Ho & Kevin J. Stiroh, 2003. "Lessons for Canada from the U.S. Growth Resurgence," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 6, pages 3-18, Spring. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ana Aizcorbe & Samuel Kortum, 2004. "Moore's Law and the Semiconductor Industry: A Vintage Model," BEA Working Papers 0019, Bureau of Economic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. Stephen D. Oliner & Daniel E. Sichel, 2002. "Information technology and productivity: where are we now and where are we going?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2002-29, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  9. Ana Aizcorbe, 2005. "Moore's Law, Competition and Intel's Productivity in the 1990s," Industrial Organization 0502003, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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