IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ewc/wpaper/wp67.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Estimation of the J-Curve in China

Author

Listed:
  • Jaleel Ahmad

    (Economics, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Montreal, Canada)

  • Jing Yang

    (Economics, Concordia University, Ottawa, Canada)

Abstract

This paper investigates whether a J-curve can be detected in the time series data on China's bilateral trade with the G-7 countries. It utilizes cointegration and causality tests to ascertain the long-run relatedness, and the short-run dynamics, between the real exchange rate, national income, and the trade balance. There is some evidence that a real depreciation eventually improves the trade balance with some countries. But there is no indication of a negative short-run response which characteristics the J-Curve.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaleel Ahmad & Jing Yang, 2004. "Estimation of the J-Curve in China," Economics Study Area Working Papers 67, East-West Center, Economics Study Area.
    • Handle: RePEc:ewc:wpaper:wp67
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.eastwestcenter.org/fileadmin/stored/pdfs/ECONwp067.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tze-Haw Chan & Hooi Hooi Lean & Chee-Wooi Hooy, 2014. "A macro assessment of China effects on Malaysian exports and trade balances," Journal of Chinese Economic and Foreign Trade Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 7(1), pages 18-37, January.
    2. Huseyin Kalyoncu & Ilhan Ozturk & Seyfettin Artan & Kahraman Kalyoncu, 2009. "Devaluation and trade balance in Latin American countries," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 27(1), pages 115-128.
    3. Aamir Khan & Aneel Salman & Muhammad Arshad Khan, 2019. "Is Exchange Rate Effect Trade Balance in Pakistan? Evidence Based on J- Curve," International Journal of Economic Sciences, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences, vol. 8(2), pages 60-79, December.
    4. Hicham Sadok, 2018. "The Effect of Exchange Rates on Trade Balance: An Empirical Study of Morocco," GATR Journals jber151, Global Academy of Training and Research (GATR) Enterprise.
    5. Kamal P. Upadhyaya & Franklin G. Mixon & Rabindra Bhandari, 2022. "Is there a J‐curve in China‐U.S. trade?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 61-67, January.
    6. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Ratha, Artatrana, 2010. "S-Curve dynamics of trade between U.S. and China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 212-223, June.
    7. Arintoko & Insukindro, 2017. "Effect of Exchange Rate, Foreign Direct Investment and Portfolio Investment on the Indonesian Economy: A Structural Cointegrating Vector Autoregression Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(2), pages 682-691.
    8. Mahesh Kumar Chaulagai Ph.D., 2015. "Testing the J-Curve Hypothesis: A Case of Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 27(1), pages 17-36, April.
    9. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-458 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Sevgi SEZER, 2017. "The effects of real exchange rates and income on the trade balance: A second generation panel data analysis for transition economies and Turkey," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(2(611), S), pages 171-186, Summer.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Niloy Bose & Yun Zhang, 2019. "An asymmetric analysis of the J‐curve effect in the commodity trade between China and the US," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(10), pages 2854-2899, October.
    12. Bustamante, Rafael & Morales, Fedor, 2009. "Probando la condición de Marshall-Lerner y el efecto Curva-J: Evidencia empírica para el caso peruano," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 16, pages 103-126.
    13. Khieu Van, Hoang, 2013. "The effects of the real exchange rate on the trade balance: Is there a J-curve for Vietnam? A VAR approach," MPRA Paper 54490, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Jul 2013.
    14. Mahesh Kumar Chaulagai, Ph.D., 2015. "Testing the J-Curve Hypothesis: A Case of Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 27(1), pages 17-36, April.
    15. Chan, Tze-Haw & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2010. "China-Malaysia’s Trading and Exchange Rate: Complementary or Conflicting Features?," MPRA Paper 25546, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. repec:asi:ajoerj:2013:p:605-617 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Mahesh Kumar Chaulagai Ph.D., 2015. "Devaluation and Testing the J-curve Hypothesis: A Case of Nepal," NRB Working Paper 27/2015, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department.
    18. Chan, Tze-Haw & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2011. "China-Malaysia’s long run trading and exchange rate: complementary or conflicting?," MPRA Paper 33585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Razak, Najwa & Masih, Mansur, 2018. "The relationship between exchange rate and trade balance: evidence from Malaysia based on ARDL and Nonlinear ARDL approaches," MPRA Paper 112447, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Dene T. Hurley & Nikolaos Papanikolaou, 2018. "An Investigation of China‐U.S. Bilateral Trade and Exchange Rate Changes Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 37(2), pages 162-179, June.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ewc:wpaper:wp67. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Brenda Higashimoto (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ewchius.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.