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Risk classification for claim counts and losses using regression models for location, scale and shape

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  • Tzougas, George
  • Vrontos, Spyridon D.
  • Frangos, Nickolaos E.

Abstract

This paper presents and compares different risk classification models for the frequency and severity of claims employing regression models for location, scale and shape. The differences between these models are analyzed through the mean and the variance of the annual number of claims and the costs of claims of the insureds, who belong to different risk classes and interesting results about claiming behavior are obtained. Furthermore, the resulting a priori premiums rates are calculated via the expected value and standard deviation principles with independence between the claim frequency and severity components assumed.

Suggested Citation

  • Tzougas, George & Vrontos, Spyridon D. & Frangos, Nickolaos E., 2015. "Risk classification for claim counts and losses using regression models for location, scale and shape," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 70921, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:70921
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    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/70921/
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Klein, Nadja & Denuit, Michel & Lang, Stefan & Kneib, Thomas, 2014. "Nonlife ratemaking and risk management with Bayesian generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 225-249.
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    5. Rigby, R.A. & Stasinopoulos, D.M. & Akantziliotou, C., 2008. "A framework for modelling overdispersed count data, including the Poisson-shifted generalized inverse Gaussian distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 381-393, December.
    6. Yip, Karen C.H. & Yau, Kelvin K.W., 2005. "On modeling claim frequency data in general insurance with extra zeros," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 153-163, April.
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    8. Denuit, Michel & Lang, Stefan, 2004. "Non-life rate-making with Bayesian GAMs," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 627-647, December.
    9. Frangos, Nicholas E. & Vrontos, Spyridon D., 2001. "Design of Optimal Bonus-Malus Systems With a Frequency and a Severity Component On an Individual Basis in Automobile Insurance," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(1), pages 1-22, May.
    10. Klein, Nadja & Denuit, Michel & Lang, Stefan & Kneib, Thomas, 2014. "Nonlife ratemaking and risk management with Bayesian generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2014006, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    11. R. A. Rigby & D. M. Stasinopoulos, 2005. "Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 54(3), pages 507-554, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tzougas, George & Yik, Woo Hee & Mustaqeem, Muhammad Waqar, 2019. "Insurance ratemaking using the Exponential-Lognormal regression model," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101729, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Tzougas, George & Hoon, W. L. & Lim, J. M., 2019. "The negative binomial-inverse Gaussian regression model with an application to insurance ratemaking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101728, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. George Tzougas, 2020. "EM Estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma Regression Model with Varying Dispersion: An Application to Insurance Ratemaking," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-23, September.
    4. Tzougas, George, 2020. "EM estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma regression model with varying dispersion: an application to insurance ratemaking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106539, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Claim frequency; claim severity; regression models for location; scale and shape; a priori risk classification; expected value premium calculation principle; standard deviation premium calculation principle;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General

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