IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cte/werepe/we090904.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

A new class of distribution-free tests for time series models specification

Author

Listed:
  • Delgado, Miguel A.
  • Velasco, Carlos

Abstract

The construction of asymptotically distribution free time series model specification tests using as statistics the estimated residual autocorrelations is considered from a general view point. We focus our attention on Box-Pierce type tests based on the sum of squares of a few estimated residual autocorrelations. This type of tests belong to the class defined by quadratic forms of weighted residual autocorrelations, where weights are suitably transformed resulting in asymptotically distribution free tests. The weights can be optimally chosen to maximize the power function when testing in the direction of local alternatives. The optimal test in this class against MA, AR or Bloomfield alternatives is a Box-Pierce type test based on the sum of squares of a few transformed residual autocorrelations. Such transformations are, in fact, the recursive residuals in the projection of the residual autocorrelations on a certain score function.

Suggested Citation

  • Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2009. "A new class of distribution-free tests for time series models specification," UC3M Working papers. Economics we090904, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
  • Handle: RePEc:cte:werepe:we090904
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://e-archivo.uc3m.es/rest/api/core/bitstreams/a2b7219d-4503-4414-ab5b-a9d1fa9a343b/content
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Delgado, Miguel A. & Hidalgo, Javier & Velasco, Carlos, 2005. "Distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for linear processes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6840, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Durbin, J, 1970. "Testing for Serial Correlation in Least-Squares Regression When Some of the Regressors are Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(3), pages 410-421, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zaichao Du, 2016. "Nonparametric bootstrap tests for independence of generalized errors," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(1), pages 55-83, February.
    2. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Lobato, Ignacio N., 2009. "An automatic Portmanteau test for serial correlation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 140-149, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2010. "Distribution-free tests for time series models specification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 155(2), pages 128-137, April.
    2. Delgado, Miguel A. & Velasco, Carlos, 2010. "A distribution-free transform of the residuals sample autocorrelations with application to model checking," UC3M Working papers. Economics we101707, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Economía.
    3. repec:wyi:journl:002087 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Mishkin, Frederic S, 1982. "Does Anticipated Monetary Policy Matter? An Econometric Investigation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(1), pages 22-51, February.
    5. Hidalgo, Javier, 2009. "Goodness of fit for lattice processes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 151(2), pages 113-128, August.
    6. Dhruv Rawat & Sujay Patni & Ram Mehta, 2021. "Stock prices and Macroeconomic indicators: Investigating a correlation in Indian context," Papers 2112.08071, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    7. Unknown, 2013. "Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Volume 09, Number 1, 2013," Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, Journal of International Agricultural Trade and Development, vol. 9(1), pages 140-140.
    8. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G, 1984. "Model Specification Tests Based on Artificial Linear Regressions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 25(2), pages 485-502, June.
    9. Benjamin M. Friedman & V. Vance Roley, 1977. "Identifying Identical Distributed Lag Structures by the Use of Prior SumConstraints," NBER Working Papers 0179, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Davidson, Russell & Trokić, Mirza, 2020. "The fast iterated bootstrap," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 218(2), pages 451-475.
    11. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2008. "Modelling the US, UK and Japanese unemployment rates: Fractional integration and structural breaks," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(11), pages 4998-5013, July.
    12. Amengual, Dante & Fiorentini, Gabriele & Sentana, Enrique, 2013. "Sequential estimation of shape parameters in multivariate dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 233-249.
    13. Proietti, Tommaso & Luati, Alessandra, 2015. "The generalised autocovariance function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(1), pages 245-257.
    14. Pantuosco, Lou & Parker, Darrell, 1998. "Sources of Prevailing Differences in Unemployment Rates For Selected Regional Pairs," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 28(2), pages 35-46, Fall.
    15. Moguillansky, Graciela, 1989. "Nociones básicas de econometría y modelos lineales," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 33369, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    16. Hidalgo, Javier, 2007. "Specification testing for regression models with dependent data," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 6799, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    17. James Alan Fox, 1979. "Crime Trends and Police Expenditures," Evaluation Review, , vol. 3(1), pages 41-58, February.
    18. Kiguel, Miguel A. & Neumeyer, Pablo Andres, 1989. "Inflation and seigniorage in Argentina," Policy Research Working Paper Series 289, The World Bank.
    19. Can, S.U. & Einmahl, John & Laeven, R.J.A., 2020. "Goodness-of-fit testing for copulas: A distribution-free approach," Other publications TiSEM 211b2be9-b46e-41e2-9b95-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    20. Margaret E Blume-Kohout & John W Clack, 2013. "Are Graduate Students Rational? Evidence from the Market for Biomedical Scientists," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 8(12), pages 1-13, December.
    21. Belsley, David A, 1997. "A Small-Sample Correction for Testing for gth-Order Serial Correlation with Artificial Regressions," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 10(3), pages 197-229, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dynamic regression model;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cte:werepe:we090904. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ana Poveda (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.eco.uc3m.es/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.