We use a 500-industry CGE model of the U.S. to simulate the macro, industry and state effects of removing major U.S. tariffs and quotas. We find that this would generate a welfare gain of 0.07 per cent. For most industries, the output change would be negligible but for sugar, butter and several textile industries output contractions would be large. The state employment changes are all between -0.5 and 0.2 per cent. We explain the results by elementary mechanisms, in a way that does not require prior knowledge of the underlying CGE model.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models R13 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
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