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Compromiso de Reducción de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero: Consecuencias económicas

Author

Listed:
  • Andrés Camilo ÁLVAREZ-ESPINOSA
  • Daniel Alejandro ORDOÑEZ
  • Alejandro NIETO
  • William WILLS
  • German ROMERO
  • Silvia Liliana CALDERÓN

Abstract

Este documento presenta el análisis de los impactos económicos que tendría la implementación de las medidas de mitigación de gases de efecto invernadero que hacen parte del compromiso de Colombia de reducir sus emisiones en un 20% con respecto a las emisiones proyectadas para el ano 2030. La ejecución de las medidas que contribuyan al cumplimiento del compromiso adquirido traerá consigo un aumento del PIB de 2,3% en el 2040, equivalente a un aumento en la tasa de crecimiento del PIB de 0,15% anual para el periodo 2020- 2040, frente a un escenario de no hacer nada. Otra consecuencia es que, en el largo plazo, se reduce la tasa de desempleo debido a que se generarán empleos directos en el uso y capacitación de las nuevas formas de producción, e indirectos en el suministro de insumos, servicios, industria. Las inversiones requeridas por las medidas de mitigación son aplicadas a sectores intensivos en trabajo, como lo es el transporte y el sector agropecuario. Debido a la estructura económica y la matriz de emisiones, la implementación de medidas asociadas a la eficiencia energética en el sector de transporte, industrial, y residencial generarían los mayores impactos positivos sobre el crecimiento económico.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrés Camilo ÁLVAREZ-ESPINOSA & Daniel Alejandro ORDOÑEZ & Alejandro NIETO & William WILLS & German ROMERO & Silvia Liliana CALDERÓN, 2015. "Compromiso de Reducción de Emisiones de Gases de Efecto Invernadero: Consecuencias económicas," Archivos de Economía 14157, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:014157
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Acuerdo de París; mitigación; cambio climático; modelo deequilibrio general.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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