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Determinantes de la supervivencia de empresas industriales en el área metropolitana de Cali 1994-2003

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Author Info
Andrés Felipe Martínez
Abstract

Los establecimientos industriales del Área Metropolitana de Cali presentan mayores problemas para consolidarse en los primeros años que siguen a su creación. En este trabajo se analiza el horizonte vital de las empresas de la cohorte de 1994 hasta el año 2003. Los procesos de consolidación empresarial de los establecimientos industriales varían según el tamaño inicial y las características de la industria donde operen. En particular, el ciclo de vida, el nivel de concentración de mercado y el régimen tecnológico de las industrias, determinan diversos escenarios de supervivencia para los nuevos establecimientos. A partir de la estimación de un modelo de duración, se estimo la probabilidad de supervivencia y el nivel de riesgo de los establecimientos industriales. Se encontró que las empresas enfrentan mayores barreras a la supervivencia cuando el sector donde deciden operar se encuentra en un etapa madura del ciclo de vida. De igual modo, las empresas pertenecientes a sectores industriales no concentrados presentan bajos niveles de supervivencia. Adicionalmente, el riesgo empresarial difiere según el tamaño inicial e la empresa, encontrándose una relación inversa entre el tamaño y la tasa de riesgo.

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File URL: http://www.banrep.gov.co/documentos/publicaciones/regional/CREE/Cali/2006/ESER-41-DETERMINANTES-SUPERVIVENCIA-EMPRESAS-INDUSTRIALES.pdf
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Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ECONOMÍA REGIONAL in its series INVESTIGACIONES SOBRE ECONOMÍA REGIONAL - CREE with number 002320.

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Length: 39
Date of creation: 30 Jun 2006
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Handle: RePEc:col:000103:002320

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