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Credit Elasticities in Less-Developed Economies: Implications for Microcredit

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Author Info
Dean Karlan ()
Jonathan Zinman

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Abstract

Policymakers often urge microfinance institutions to increase interest rates to eliminate reliance on subsidies. However, existing research provides little evidence on interest rate sensitivities in MFI target markets as well as little guidance on how to derive rates. MFI policymakers generally presume that the poor are largely insensitive to interest rates and recommend that MFIs increase interest rates without fear of diminishing access. In this working paper, CGD non-resident fellow and his co-author test the elasticity of demand for microcredit using field data from South Africa. A for-profit South African lender worked with the authors to randomize 50,000 individual interest rate direct mail offers and tracked gross revenue and repayment, allowing the authors to access the effects on the targeted access margin that interests policymakers. They also worked with the lender to explore a margin of loan contracting that has been largely ignored by academics, policy makers and practitioners: loan maturity. They found that price sensitivity increased sharply when individuals were offered a rate above their prior loan's rate. They also found that loan size is far more responsive to changes in loan maturity than to changes in interest rates. This paper is one in a series of six CGD working papers by Dean Karlan on various aspects of microfinance (Working Paper Nos. 106 –111).

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File URL: http://www.cgdev.org/content/publications/detail/12328
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Center for Global Development in its series Working Papers with number 110.

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Length: 57 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:cgd:wpaper:110

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Web page: http://www.cgdev.org

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Related research
Keywords: interest rates; subsidies; credit elasticity; loan maturity; microfinance; credit market;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages
M20 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting - - Business Economics - - - General
E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Determination of Interest Rates; Term Structure of Interest Rates
H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.


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