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Assessing the Safety Implication of Alternative Speed Limits in California

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  • Musabbir, Sarder Rafee
  • Zhang, Michael PhD

Abstract

This project combined the statewide crash data (SWIRTS) and traffic data (PeMS) to develop statistical models to determine the safety impacts of alternative speed limits on California highways. The models examined whether various factors about crashes, including average traffic speed and truck-involvement, correlated with outcomes such as crash severity. The models were then used to test the impact of four alternative speed limit policies (B-E) on the predicted number of fatal crashes and unsafe-speed related crashes in urban and rural areas. The policies were: (A) Existing differential speed policy for cars (65 mph) and trucks (55 mph); (B) Raising the speed limit on interstates for trucks from 55 to 65 mph; (C) Raising the speed limit on interstates from 55 to 75 mph for trucks and 65 to 75 mph for cars; (D) Lowering the existing differential speed on interstates from 55 to 50mph for trucks and 65 to 60 mph for cars; (E) Raising the existing differential speed on interstates from 55 to 70 mph for trucks and 65 to 80 mph for cars. The policy analysis shows a difference in the predicted number of crashes (fatal, unsafe speed) in and between urban and rural areas. The percentage increase/decrease in predicted fatal crashes in rural areas is lower than urban areas across all policy alternatives.

Suggested Citation

  • Musabbir, Sarder Rafee & Zhang, Michael PhD, 2020. "Assessing the Safety Implication of Alternative Speed Limits in California," Institute of Transportation Studies, Working Paper Series qt8h09c504, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Davis.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:itsdav:qt8h09c504
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Friedman, L.S. & Hedeker, D. & Richter, E.D., 2009. "Long-term effects of repealing the national maximum speed limit in the United States," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 99(9), pages 1626-1631.
    2. Neeley, G.W. & Richardson Jr., L.E., 2009. "The effect of state regulations on truck-crash fatalities," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 99(3), pages 408-415.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Engineering; Speed limits; trucks; highway safety; policy analysis; crash riskforecasting; traffic speeds; logits;
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