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The role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission mechanism in the U.S

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Author Info
Hilde C. Bjørnland (Norwegian School og Management and Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway))
Dag Henning Jacobsen () (Norges Bank (Central Bank of Norway)and The World Bank)

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Abstract

We analyze the role of house prices in the monetary policy transmission mechanism in the U.S. using structural VARs. The VAR is identified using a combination of short-run and long-run (neutrality) restrictions, allowing for a contemporaneous interaction between monetary policy and various asset prices. By allowing the interest rate and asset prices to react simultaneously to news, we find the role of house prices in the monetary transmission mechanism to increase considerably. In particular, following a monetary policy shock that raises the interest rate by one percentage point, house prices fall immediately by 1 percent, for then to decline by a total of 4-5 percent after three years. Furthermore, the fall in house prices enhances the negative response in output and consumer price inflation that has traditionally been found in the conventional literature.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Norges Bank in its series Working Paper with number 2008/24.

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Length: 24 pages
Date of creation: 12 Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:bno:worpap:2008_24

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Related research
Keywords: VAR; monetary policy; house prices; identification.;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-19.


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